scottilicious
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No$245.2K$7.5K
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$186.6K$12.6K
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$107.4K$1.7K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No$69.6K$479
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No$45.4K$1.5K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$35.2K$529
- Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes$34.2K$520
- Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$30.3K$-18
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No$26.1K$1.6K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No$22.6K$2.0K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No$20.6K$280
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo$15.8K$-274
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$11.7K$-678
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No$11.0K$206
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?No$10.0K$196
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$8.1K$683
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No$7.3K$933
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$6.9K$1.9K
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No$6.3K$1.6K
- Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes$3.9K$-89
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$3.4K$979
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2.8K$-425
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$2.7K$-3.3K
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes$1.9K$-3.9K
- Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?No$1.8K$21
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.1K$-1.3K
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$1.1K$-119
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No$815$125
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$706$70
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$478$-35
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No$478$113
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes$463$-54
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$258$-737
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$181$-880
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes$129$-1.2K
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$116$-53
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$72$9
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes$32$-17
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No$18$-1.1K
- Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes$7$1
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$4$-3.0K
- Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes$0$-43
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes$0$-17.5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No$0$-20.4K
- Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No$0$-4.2K
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes$0$-5.0K
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Yes$0$-167
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-177
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes$0$-3.8K
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-97
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes$0$-96
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Yes$0$-348
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes$0$-2.6K
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes$0$-86.8K
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?Yes$0$-106
- Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes$0$-3.3K
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes$0$-306
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-2.4K
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes$0$-18.8K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 11d agoSold Yes$6.1K@ 83.0¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$882@ 15.0¢
- 11d agoSold Yes$6.2K@ 85.0¢
- 18d agoSold No$2.1K@ 99.6¢
- 18d agoBought No$3.0K@ 98.9¢
- 19d agoBought No$5.8K@ 96.5¢
- 19d agoBought No$1.6K@ 79.0¢
- 19d agoBought No$11.7K@ 77.6¢
- 19d agoBought No$16.7K@ 93.0¢
- 20d agoBought No$38.9K@ 87.7¢
- 20d agoBought No$35.5K@ 77.6¢
- 21d agoBought No$4.1K@ 75.4¢
- 21d agoBought No$6.6K@ 95.0¢
- 21d agoBought No$10.5K@ 94.0¢
- 28d agoBought No$1.6K@ 90.0¢
- 28d agoBought Yes$4.4K@ 95.8¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.