MarketSignals
Polymarket data desk

Who actually wins on Polymarket — and which markets look off.

MarketSignals is an editorial tracker. We watch publicly available on-chain activity on Polymarket and surface two things: the traders who keep coming out ahead, and the markets where the current price looks worth a second look against simple sanity heuristics. Data, not advice.

Browse traders →Mispriced-looking markets →

Snapshot generated May 29, 2026 · 80 traders · 400 markets · 179 signals

Top traders by volume

Wallets we are tracking, ranked by traded volume across the snapshot.

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1
Lone-Glutamate
0xc682…17bb
$10.3K
8 open positions
2
Polite-Age
0xe558…dcd2
$2.6K
1 open positions
3
Posh-Pollution
0x61e0…4b62
$2.0K
2 open positions
4
Entire-Galley-Emotion
0xeb77…ef9e
$2.0K
3 open positions
5
Unsung-Playroom
0x32c4…491e
$1.4K
0 open positions

Markets worth a second look

Markets where current pricing diverges meaningfully from our simple sanity heuristic. Editorial flags, not calls.

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Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES 0.5¢ends Jul 20, 2026

Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on 28935K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
YES 0.5¢ends May 31, 2026

Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on 19447K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
YES 0.5¢ends Jul 20, 2026

Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on 15371K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YES 0.5¢ends Jun 17, 2026

Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on 10886K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YES 0.5¢ends Jun 17, 2026

Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on 8066K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.

What this site is, and is not

It is

  • · A read-only view of public Polymarket data.
  • · Editorial summaries of who is trading what, and where prices look unusual.
  • · A way to research before forming your own views.

It is not

  • · A trading platform. We do not accept orders or hold funds.
  • · Financial advice. Nothing here is a tip or a position.
  • · A copy-trade tool. Past activity is not predictive.