Cent Signals
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?YES 16.5¢▼1Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic pre…YES 0.4¢Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidenti…YES 0.1¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 20…YES 3.7¢Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic pres…YES 0.3¢Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential…YES 0.1¢Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of…YES 0.4¢Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presi…YES 15.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?YES 6.5¢Putin out as President of Russia by December 31…YES 7.5¢Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidentia…YES 0.5¢Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican preside…YES 0.3¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by A…YES 0.5¢Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican preside…YES 47.3¢
← All traders

Popular-Insurrection

0xeebd…ba30View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$380
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-1.5K

Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.

Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)

Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$1.3K
Hit rate (resolved)
10%
Resolved positions
484
Longshot exposure
98%

Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.

Current open positions

Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.

Recent trades observed

The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.

How to read this page

This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Popular-Insurrection. The headline figures are $380 of traded volume, 2 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $1.5K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.

Traded volume of $380 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $1.5K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 50% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.

The open-positions table lists the 2 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.

  1. Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $380 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
  2. Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $1.5K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
  3. Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
  4. Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.

How these figures are derived

Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.

The realized figure of $1.5K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 2 visible positions and the $380 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.

For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.

Frequently asked questions

What does the $380 traded volume for this wallet mean?

It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.

How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?

The $1.5K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.

How current are the positions shown here?

They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 2 visible positions and the $380 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.

Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?

No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.

Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.

Realised P&L (naive)
$1.5K
Win rate (snapshot)
50%

Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.