The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e…434eView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$197.4K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-72.0K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$44.6K
Hit rate (resolved)
4%
Resolved positions
118
Longshot exposure
92%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No$397.4K$-4.1K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No$333.8K$24.7K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No$117.4K$6.2K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No$79.2K$-150
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes$48.7K$651
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No$44.4K$-3.7K
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No$42.4K$404
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No$40.7K$-576
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No$34.2K$-1.2K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No$29.7K$-53
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$19.2K$448
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No$15.0K$1.7K
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No$7.2K$116
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes$6.6K$6.2K
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No$6.2K$-459
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$6.0K$1.1K
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No$4.3K$35
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$2.8K$-556
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$2.3K$417
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.6K$-3.4K
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No$1.1K$229
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$1.1K$-2.3K
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$1.1K$430
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.0K$484
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$962$-4.0K
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$962$-4.0K
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$962$-4.0K
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$962$-4.0K
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$962$-4.0K
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-3.9K
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$883$372
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$865$-36
- Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$822$-34
- Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?No$792$39
- Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$789$-333
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$661$-2.8K
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$661$-2.8K
- Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$661$-2.8K
- Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$661$-2.8K
- Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$661$-2.8K
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$661$-2.8K
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No$455$-2.5K
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes$402$-2.2K
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$326$-66
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$288$-1.2K
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$247$44
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$246$-103
- Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$235$-99
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$226$-278
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$190$34
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$187$-79
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$175$-216
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$173$31
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$170$14
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$169$-34
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$150$-319
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$143$-105
- Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$143$-60
- Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$143$-60
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$143$-60
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$140$-199
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$125$-266
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$125$-266
- Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$117$-86
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$117$-86
- Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$117$-86
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$112$-239
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$110$-46
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$91$-112
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$91$-112
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$91$-112
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$91$-112
- Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$91$-112
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$91$-112
- Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$83$-103
- Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$71$-151
- Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$71$-151
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$65$-138
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$65$-138
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$65$-138
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$65$-3
- Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$64$-13
- Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$58$-124
- Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$38$-82
- Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$35$-43
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$25$-53
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$25$-53
- New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?No$9$0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 9d agoSold No$16.3K@ 99.3¢
- 13d agoSold Yes$178@ 0.4¢
- 13d agoSold Yes$192@ 0.5¢
- 13d agoSold Yes$267@ 0.6¢
- 21d agoBought No$22.2K@ 92.0¢
- 21d agoSold No$117.6K@ 99.2¢
- 21d agoSold No$2.9K@ 99.5¢
- 22d agoBought No$362@ 92.0¢
- 25d agoSold No$28.3K@ 97.5¢
- 25d agoBought No$8.0K@ 38.0¢
- 25d agoBought No$555@ 68.0¢
- 26d agoBought No$584@ 99.8¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.