0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900
0x122c…fbedView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$301.8K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
41
Open P&L (est.)
$-2.7K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$-16.3K
Hit rate (resolved)
2%
Resolved positions
206
Longshot exposure
54%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes$3.6K$-215
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes$2.2K$-0
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.1K$28
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes$1.7K$73
- US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No$1.7K$9
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No$1.4K$216
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No$1.3K$473
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No$1.2K$8
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No$1.1K$96
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No$1.0K$140
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No$923$108
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?No$873$27
- Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes$761$-181
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$681$55
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$648$-92
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes$523$-75
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes$499$-31
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes$486$-37
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes$468$50
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No$447$-3
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes$444$-68
- US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No$322$12
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes$314$-0
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No$299$227
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes$264$-10
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No$258$7
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No$233$24
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?No$228$38
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No$225$-10
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes$213$-13
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes$207$-135
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Yes$195$3
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No$144$-1
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes$144$2
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No$137$1
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes$135$-59
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes$129$-51
- Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes$107$5
- Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Yes$103$-23
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No$72$10
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?No$71$11
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes$51$8
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes$50$-44
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?Yes$46$10
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Yes$43$6
- Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No$38$0
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No$29$6
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Yes$29$-12
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No$24$1
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes$22$3
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes$18$-5
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 2?No$18$1
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes$15$-54
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No$11$3
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2?No$11$-1
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2?Yes$10$1
- Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?No$9$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?No$8$1
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes$6$1
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No$6$-4
- US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Yes$5$-52
- Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes$4$-1
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes$3$-0
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes$1$-1
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No$1$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?No$1$0
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$1$-0
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes$1$-3
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes$0$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?No$0$-8
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?No$0$-3
- Spain vs. Austria: O/U 5.5Over$0$-3
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?No$0$-180
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Spain$0$-1
- Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Over$0$-27
- Spread: France (-4.5)France$0$-2
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)Canada$0$-0
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain$0$-60
- Spread: England (-1.5)England$0$-400
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?No$0$-1
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?No$0$-8
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?No$0$-5
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?No$0$-1
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Over$0$-0
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Over$0$-150
- Spread: United States (-3.5)United States$0$-14
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?No$0$-8
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?No$0$-67
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 9?Yes$0$-1
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?No$0$-169
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?No$0$-550
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal$0$-22
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)France$0$-522
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany$0$-9
- Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Over$0$-42
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?Yes$0$-23
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Colombia$0$-0
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?No$0$-9
- Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?No$0$-937
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?No$0$-5
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 1h agoSold No$140@ 65.0¢
- 5h agoSold Yes$975@ 44.0¢
- 5h agoSold No$273@ 81.0¢
- 5h agoSold Yes$851@ 90.0¢
- 5h agoSold No$206@ 75.9¢
- 6h agoSold No$152@ 76.0¢
- 7h agoSold No$474@ 86.8¢
- 9h agoSold No$120@ 80.2¢
- 9h agoSold Yes$116@ 55.0¢
- 9h agoSold Yes$116@ 55.0¢
- 9h agoBought No$142@ 46.0¢
- 9h agoSold Yes$123@ 53.0¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$284@ 71.0¢
- 12h agoBought No$233@ 78.0¢
- 12h agoSold Yes$500@ 22.0¢
- 13h agoSold No$124@ 74.0¢
- 13h agoSold No$175@ 79.0¢
- 15h agoSold No$186@ 97.3¢
- 15h agoSold Yes$120@ 38.0¢
- 16h agoSold No$186@ 97.2¢
- 16h agoSold No$1.4K@ 97.0¢
- 16h agoBought Yes$202@ 31.0¢
- 18h agoBought No$343@ 47.0¢
- 18h agoBought No$251@ 55.0¢
- 18h agoSold Yes$299@ 53.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.