MisTKy
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes$17.5K$-4.2K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$13.2K$1.4K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes$11.7K$3.5K
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No$10.2K$638
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes$8.7K$-289
- Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No$8.6K$-15
- Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No$5.6K$125
- US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No$4.3K$81
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No$3.5K$86
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$2.9K$14
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes$2.4K$-131
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No$2.1K$238
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No$1.7K$108
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes$1.6K$-108
- Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?No$1.2K$100
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes$1.1K$390
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No$992$43
- Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No$984$100
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No$588$28
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No$533$33
- Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No$508$26
- UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No$474$54
- Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No$459$83
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes$459$3
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?Yes$309$18
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No$287$2
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No$218$0
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes$212$3
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes$177$-2
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No$58$-573
- Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?No$41$3
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$18$3
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No$18$3
- UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No$7$1
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No$4$1
- Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No$2$-0
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes$1$-2
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No$1$-7
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No$0$-61
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No$0$-2.7K
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No$0$-1.2K
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Yes$0$-588
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 2h agoBought Yes$333@ 11.0¢
- 7h agoSold Yes$244@ 12.0¢
- 10h agoSold Yes$4.9K@ 20.0¢
- 17h agoBought No$257@ 64.0¢
- 17h agoSold Yes$1.5K@ 26.0¢
- 20h agoSold Yes$137@ 76.0¢
- 21h agoBought Yes$182@ 3.2¢
- 22h agoBought Yes$1.1K@ 78.0¢
- 32h agoSold Yes$720@ 60.0¢
- 35h agoSold Yes$1.2K@ 60.0¢
- 7d agoBought Yes$589@ 16.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$1.1K@ 55.0¢
- 8d agoBought Yes$245@ 12.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$1.8K@ 93.0¢
- 8d agoBought No$794@ 93.0¢
- 8d agoBought No$295@ 72.0¢
- 8d agoBought No$1.3K@ 72.0¢
- 8d agoBought Yes$3.2K@ 97.4¢
- 8d agoBought Yes$4.5K@ 71.0¢
- 8d agoBought Yes$9.3K@ 70.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$1.7K@ 73.4¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$3.7K@ 79.0¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$709@ 69.6¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$161@ 74.4¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$3.8K@ 94.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.