MisTKy
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No$39.3K$1.7K
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No$34.9K$1.8K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No$18.7K$1.3K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$17.2K$-889
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No$12.2K$443
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$9.3K$155
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No$7.8K$311
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No$6.2K$384
- Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No$5.1K$-105
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No$4.0K$69
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes$3.2K$-1.1K
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$2.7K$24
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No$2.3K$159
- US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Yes$2.2K$21
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No$2.2K$363
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$1.3K$-438
- Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?No$1.3K$244
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No$1.3K$74
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No$880$0
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?No$612$53
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No$560$61
- Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No$510$28
- Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No$489$112
- UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No$473$53
- Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?No$441$20
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No$294$9
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No$223$5
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$214$6
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes$191$-17
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes$159$-193
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No$132$8
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$67$1
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes$50$4
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No$21$0
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$18$4
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No$18$3
- UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No$7$1
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No$3$-0
- Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No$2$0
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No$1$-7
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes$1$-2
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes$1$-7
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No$0$-61
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No$0$-631
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No$0$-2.7K
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No$0$-1.2K
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes$0$-10
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Yes$0$-588
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere$0$-3.9K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 8d agoBought Yes$1.8K@ 50.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$462@ 50.0¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$624@ 77.0¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$1.4K@ 75.0¢
- 10d agoSold Yes$955@ 33.0¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$555@ 32.3¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$502@ 60.6¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$262@ 59.8¢
- 10d agoSold Yes$6.1K@ 95.9¢
- 10d agoSold Yes$315@ 93.8¢
- 11d agoSold Yes$734@ 33.0¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$2.4K@ 73.0¢
- 11d agoBought No$4.9K@ 96.4¢
- 11d agoBought No$2.1K@ 96.1¢
- 15d agoBought No$527@ 31.0¢
- 16d agoSold No$2.1K@ 64.0¢
- 16d agoSold Yes$2.1K@ 98.2¢
- 16d agoSold No$134@ 71.0¢
- 16d agoBought No$2.6K@ 65.0¢
- 17d agoBought No$5.1K@ 85.0¢
- 17d agoBought No$891@ 64.0¢
- 17d agoBought No$1.8K@ 63.0¢
- 17d agoBought No$2.0K@ 88.0¢
- 17d agoBought No$3.1K@ 87.0¢
- 17d agoBought No$1.6K@ 57.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.