thoodr
0x3eae…e2edView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$224.4K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$37.7K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$2.5K
Hit rate (resolved)
80%
Resolved positions
30
Longshot exposure
99%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No$240.5K$11.9K
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No$154.2K$3.6K
- NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No$94.0K$3.3K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$67.5K$3.6K
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes$64.7K$3.7K
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No$54.1K$-6.1K
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$48.1K$1.2K
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No$38.4K$2.5K
- Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No$36.7K$870
- Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?No$29.7K$1.1K
- Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No$27.1K$164
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No$25.5K$480
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No$22.1K$3.3K
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$21.6K$94
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No$19.3K$544
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No$17.1K$1.4K
- Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No$16.5K$803
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No$16.5K$282
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$16.1K$1.1K
- Iran leadership change by August 31?No$15.3K$119
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No$13.8K$146
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No$12.4K$525
- Will Carlos Alcaraz Play in the U.S. Open?Yes$12.2K$116
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No$11.8K$425
- Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No$11.3K$59
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No$11.3K$-114
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$10.8K$-181
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No$10.2K$486
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes$9.9K$306
- Trump out as President before 2027?No$9.3K$150
- Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes$9.0K$479
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No$8.9K$102
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No$8.9K$120
- Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?No$8.3K$1.5K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No$8.2K$223
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No$7.9K$163
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$7.6K$70
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$7.4K$164
- NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?No$7.3K$146
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No$7.2K$163
- Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?Yes$5.7K$41
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No$5.6K$30
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?No$5.5K$171
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No$5.3K$124
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No$5.3K$58
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No$5.0K$300
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?No$4.8K$-14
- Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes$4.7K$-323
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes$4.7K$51
- Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No$4.7K$116
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes$4.2K$60
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No$4.1K$40
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?No$4.0K$91
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes$3.6K$219
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes$3.5K$-3.9K
- Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No$3.4K$569
- US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No$3.1K$36
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes$3.0K$41
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?No$3.0K$-416
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No$3.0K$77
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No$2.9K$156
- Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes$2.7K$145
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?No$2.7K$67
- Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?Yes$2.5K$57
- Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No$2.2K$13
- Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes$2.1K$-16
- Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?No$2.1K$99
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No$2.0K$22
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes$2.0K$14
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Yes$2.0K$88
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?No$1.9K$4
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes$1.8K$80
- Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?Yes$1.8K$30
- Will Darline Graham win at least 30% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?Yes$1.7K$13
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?No$1.7K$46
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No$992$29
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No$933$13
- Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No$896$-2
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes$797$-123
- Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes$776$56
- US x China tariff agreement by August 31?No$759$95
- Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Yes$702$50
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?No$638$57
- Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?No$612$-2
- Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Yes$556$7
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No$498$1
- Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes$484$14
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$455$30
- Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No$445$-5
- Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No$431$11
- Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes$374$56
- Will CJ Abrams hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?No$362$14
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No$348$2
- Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No$248$1
- Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No$162$1
- Will Jessica Faircloth advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No$160$0
- Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No$150$3
- Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Yes$146$0
- Will Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?No$135$8
- Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes$118$-0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 9d agoBought No$480@ 95.9¢
- 9d agoBought No$110@ 99.8¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$253@ 98.9¢
- 10d agoBought No$614@ 99.9¢
- 10d agoBought No$360@ 99.1¢
- 10d agoBought No$128@ 93.9¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$650@ 92.9¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$3.0K@ 98.8¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$747@ 83.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$4.8K@ 96.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$4.9K@ 98.7¢
- 12d agoBought No$781@ 97.6¢
- 12d agoBought No$795@ 99.4¢
- 12d agoBought No$198@ 99.1¢
- 12d agoBought No$2.5K@ 99.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$886@ 98.4¢
- 12d agoBought No$1.9K@ 93.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$2.8K@ 94.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$1.9K@ 96.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$49.3K@ 98.5¢
- 13d agoBought No$203@ 99.2¢
- 13d agoBought No$650@ 92.8¢
- 13d agoBought No$728@ 91.0¢
- 13d agoBought No$1.5K@ 99.7¢
- 14d agoBought Yes$990@ 98.4¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.