aenews2
0x44c1…ebc1View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$232.2K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-62.8K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$250.5K
Hit rate (resolved)
7%
Resolved positions
128
Longshot exposure
59%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes$56.1K$12.8K
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No$55.0K$30.6K
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$22.6K$3.7K
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No$14.6K$2.5K
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?No$6.6K$1.7K
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes$6.1K$-460
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?Yes$5.7K$1.4K
- Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?No$5.0K$132
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes$2.6K$464
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes$2.0K$-4.3K
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes$1.9K$-3.1K
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes$1.9K$-5.0K
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$1.6K$-114
- Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No$1.5K$54
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes$1.1K$-181
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes$1.1K$-1.4K
- Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes$1.0K$329
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes$926$-1.6K
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes$908$-517
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes$901$238
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes$776$151
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes$718$-1.1K
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes$693$416
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?Yes$663$-662
- Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Yes$540$50
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes$507$-824
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes$433$-565
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes$397$-1.6K
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes$381$71
- Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes$374$-3.0K
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes$335$57
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes$315$-79
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes$306$-265
- Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?No$254$6
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes$244$-445
- Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?Yes$206$10
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes$200$-79
- Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes$172$-161
- Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?No$172$26
- Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes$150$-23
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes$147$-29
- Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No$145$-37
- Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?No$142$13
- Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?Yes$139$3
- Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes$133$-29
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes$131$-52
- Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No$124$4
- Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes$118$-115
- Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes$107$49
- X banned in any European country by December 31?Yes$104$-125
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$82$2
- Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Yes$72$-106
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes$70$-97
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes$67$-6.9K
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes$59$-55
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes$58$-2.4K
- Will Trump say "Tehran" in August?Yes$47$-108
- Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Yes$41$0
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No$40$-0
- Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?No$40$6
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes$37$-139
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes$31$-76
- Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Yes$30$-227
- Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Yes$22$-46
- Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?Yes$22$-1
- Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?Yes$22$-23
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No$20$4
- Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes$19$8
- Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes$15$-0
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes$11$-14
- Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes$7$-6
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes$7$-9
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Yes$5$-2
- Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Yes$4$1
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes$4$0
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes$4$-2
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Yes$3$-3
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes$2$-564
- Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes$1$0
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes$1$-1
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes$0$-1
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes$0$-3
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$0$-1
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes$0$-23
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?No$0$-20
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Yes$0$-34.0K
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?No$0$-1.7K
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?Yes$0$-15.2K
- Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Yes$0$-310
- Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No$0$-14.6K
- Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Yes$0$-1
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-746
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes$0$-985
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-9.4K
- Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes$0$-10
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes$0$-53
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes$0$-958
- Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?Yes$0$-12
- NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?Yes$0$-1
- Will Donald Trump announce Sean O'Brien as the next United States Labor SecretaryYes$0$-3.1K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 15d agoBought No$223@ 30.0¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$3.6K@ 29.7¢
- 16d agoBought Yes$22.1K@ 99.9¢
- 16d agoBought No$146@ 84.5¢
- 16d agoBought No$129@ 91.0¢
- 18d agoBought Yes$645@ 61.0¢
- 20d agoBought Yes$940@ 99.7¢
- 20d agoBought Yes$104@ 99.8¢
- 23d agoClub Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to Score AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24?Bought$298@ 90.0¢
- 23d agoClub Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 5.5 AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24?Bought$2.0K@ 90.0¢
- 23d agoClub Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 5.5 AND Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24?Bought$2.0K@ 90.0¢
- 26d agoBought Yes$220@ 67.8¢
- 26d agoBought Yes$141@ 48.9¢
- 26d agoBought Yes$69.4K@ 18.5¢
- 27d agoBought No$20.0K@ 99.9¢
- 27d agoBought No$20.0K@ 99.9¢
- 27d agoBought No$20.1K@ 99.9¢
- 27d agoBought No$19.9K@ 99.7¢
- 27d agoBought No$10.0K@ 99.1¢
- 27d agoBought No$23.8K@ 66.9¢
- 27d agoBought No$7.7K@ 77.0¢
- 28d agoBought No$5.6K@ 17.4¢
- 35d agoBought Yes$345@ 51.0¢
- 35d agoSold No$2.5K@ 94.8¢
- 38d agoBought Yes$222@ 63.5¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.