Cent Signals
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?YES 16.5¢▼1Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic pre…YES 0.4¢Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidenti…YES 0.1¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 20…YES 3.7¢Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic pres…YES 0.3¢Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential…YES 0.1¢Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of…YES 0.4¢Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presi…YES 15.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?YES 6.5¢Putin out as President of Russia by December 31…YES 7.5¢Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidentia…YES 0.5¢Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican preside…YES 0.3¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by A…YES 0.5¢Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican preside…YES 47.3¢
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papuas

0x4572…83ffView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$408.6K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-431.7K

Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.

Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)

Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$-2.5K
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
29
Longshot exposure
42%

Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.

Current open positions

Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.

Recent trades observed

The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.

Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.