anon.1980.123
0x4699…e03cView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$614.5K
Open positions
99
Trades (7d, mirrored)
30
Open P&L (est.)
$2.4K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$0
Hit rate (resolved)
100%
Resolved positions
44
Longshot exposure
94%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes$26.2K$5.0K
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?No$5.2K$-112
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?Yes$5.1K$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 2?No$3.7K$1
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No$3.4K$3
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3?No$3.1K$-14
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3?No$2.9K$-51
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 2?No$2.8K$36
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 2?No$2.5K$63
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 2?No$2.5K$5
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 2?No$2.4K$19
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 45°C or higher on August 2?No$2.3K$43
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 2?No$2.1K$35
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 2?No$2.0K$-515
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No$1.9K$-323
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 2?No$1.7K$-43
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C or higher on August 2?No$1.6K$13
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?No$1.6K$24
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 2?No$1.5K$14
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 2?No$1.4K$15
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on August 2?No$1.4K$16
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 3?No$1.3K$-20
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?No$1.3K$-44
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 3?No$1.2K$4
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 2?No$1.2K$17
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3?No$1.2K$-6
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 2?No$1.1K$11
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 3?No$1.1K$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on August 2?No$1.1K$11
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 2?No$1.1K$5
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 2?No$1.1K$14
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 2?No$1.0K$8
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 2?No$1.0K$11
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 3?No$1.0K$0
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?No$1,000$10
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 2?No$970$5
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 2?No$960$9
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 2?No$923$9
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 2?No$900$12
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 2?No$898$-80
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 2?No$874$12
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 2?No$861$1
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 2?No$838$13
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?No$809$11
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 2?No$807$2
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 2?No$787$15
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 2?No$761$8
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 2?No$756$-22
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 2?No$746$10
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 2?No$711$8
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 2?No$709$-5
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 2?No$708$2
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 2?No$707$7
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 2?No$657$2
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 2?No$657$-255
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 2?No$647$6
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on August 2?No$640$8
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 2?No$610$10
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on August 2?No$599$-1
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on August 2?No$595$-1
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 2?No$588$5
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 2?No$564$4
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 2?No$504$-5
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?No$500$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 2?No$496$4
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?No$483$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 2?No$476$1
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 2?No$467$4
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 2?No$458$-14
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on August 2?No$447$0
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 2?No$396$9
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 2?No$369$1
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 2?No$364$5
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2?No$341$-12
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 3?No$335$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 2?No$334$3
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 2?No$322$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on August 2?No$320$4
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 2?No$301$12
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 2?No$290$3
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 2?No$283$4
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 2?No$249$5
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 2?No$244$2
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 2?No$221$2
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 3?No$219$0
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 2?No$202$2
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 2?No$194$1
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 2?No$179$-7
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 2?No$134$-63
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on August 2?No$121$1
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 2?No$118$1
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 2?No$114$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 2?No$113$1
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 2?No$113$2
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 3?No$112$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C or higher on August 2?No$109$3
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 2?No$104$-1
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 2?No$20$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on August 2?No$1$-1.6K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 10h agoBought No$647@ 99.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$452@ 99.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$2.2K@ 98.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$396@ 99.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$414@ 98.8¢
- 10h agoBought No$387@ 97.7¢
- 10h agoBought No$1.1K@ 99.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$951@ 99.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$825@ 98.4¢
- 11h agoBought Miami Marlins$321@ 97.4¢
- 15h agoBought Yes$1.1K@ 74.0¢
- 15h agoBought Yes$6.1K@ 72.7¢
- 15h agoSold No$2.2K@ 99.9¢
- 15h agoSold No$2.4K@ 99.9¢
- 15h agoBought No$8.8K@ 99.0¢
- 15h agoSold Jacob Fearnley$4.7K@ 99.9¢
- 16h agoBought Yes$4.8K@ 84.3¢
- 16h agoBought Yes$4.1K@ 83.3¢
- 19h agoBought No$560@ 99.0¢
- 19h agoBought No$599@ 99.0¢
- 19h agoBought No$735@ 98.3¢
- 19h agoBought No$462@ 99.0¢
- 19h agoBought No$218@ 99.2¢
- 19h agoBought No$183@ 98.9¢
- 19h agoBought No$1.0K@ 98.6¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.