e46m3
0x4f1d…8de2View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$65.8K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$207
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$103.0K
Hit rate (resolved)
6%
Resolved positions
356
Longshot exposure
92%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Neither team to score first?No$136$-16
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under$79$35
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over$73$33
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?No$52$-22
- Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No$34$3
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?No$29$10
- Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Yes$25$24
- Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes$25$7
- Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?Yes$23$7
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes$20$-2
- Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?No$19$2
- Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes$16$-4
- Will Bradley Beal play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?Yes$16$15
- Will Bradley Beal play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes$15$14
- Will Bradley Beal play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?Yes$14$13
- Will Bradley Beal play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?Yes$14$13
- Will Bradley Beal play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?Yes$14$13
- Will Bradley Beal play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?Yes$14$13
- Will Bradley Beal play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?Yes$13$12
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No$13$-1
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$13$13
- Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?No$13$13
- Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?No$12$-3
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Yes$12$-7
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Yes$12$-38
- Will Ethan Rall win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?Yes$12$11
- Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?Yes$12$8
- Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?No$12$-2
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Yes$11$-41
- Will Jesper Sørensen win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?Yes$11$11
- Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$11$11
- Will Mohamed Salah play in Serie A next?Yes$11$-5
- Will Bradley Beal play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes$10$10
- Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Yes$10$8
- Will Lola Tomaszewski win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$10
- Will Brian Sarmiento win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$10
- Will Jennifer "Pincoya" Galvarini win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$10
- Will Yanina Zilli win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$10
- Will Emanuel Di Gioia win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$10
- Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes$10$9
- Will Cinzia Francischiello win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Manuel "Manu" Ibero win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Luana Fernández win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Lola "Lolo" Poggio win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Eduardo Carrera win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Franco Zunino win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Juan "Juanicar" Caruso win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Nazareno Pompei win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Martín Rodríguez win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Yisela "Yipio" Pintos win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$10$10
- Will Jessica "La Maciel" win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?Yes$10$7
- Will Óscar Pareja win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?Yes$10$9
- Will Solange "Sol" Abraham win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?No$9$9
- Will Rodri join Barcelona?Yes$9$-29
- Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$9$9
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes$9$-69
- Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 0.5Under$9$6
- Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title?Yes$9$-7
- Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes$9$8
- Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$8$8
- Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$8$8
- Will Maximiliano Falcón win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$8$7
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?No$7$-0
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?No$7$0
- Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$7$7
- Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$7$7
- Will Walker Zimmerman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$7$7
- Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$7$7
- Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$7$7
- Will Rodrigues win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$7$7
- Will Javier Mascherano win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?Yes$7$6
- Will Dean Smith win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?Yes$7$6
- Will Youssef Zalal fight Kevin Vallejos next?Yes$6$6
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$6$6
- Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes$6$-6
- Will Andrea del Boca win Big Brother Argentina 2026?Yes$6$6
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$6$-84
- CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?Yes$6$2
- Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?Yes$6$5
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Yes$6$-43
- Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$5$5
- Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes$5$5
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Yes$5$-17
- Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$5$4
- Will “A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?No$5$-0
- Will Jason Segel – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?No$5$0
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes$5$5
- Will Adriano Silva win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes$5$-11
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Yes$4$-18
- Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?Yes$4$-3
- Will Marco Donadel win 2026 MLS Coach of the Year?Yes$4$4
- Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes$4$4
- Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes$4$2
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Yes$4$-6
- Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Yes$4$4
- Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?No$4$1
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Yes$4$-19
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 10d agoBought No$180@ 90.0¢
- 10d agoBought No$192@ 96.0¢
- 10d agoBought No$188@ 94.0¢
- 11d agoBought No$178@ 99.1¢
- 11d agoBought No$110@ 99.2¢
- 11d agoBought No$149@ 74.5¢
- 11d agoBought No$127@ 86.9¢
- 11d agoBought No$200@ 99.8¢
- 11d agoBought No$200@ 99.8¢
- 11d agoBought No$199@ 99.5¢
- 11d agoBought No$199@ 99.6¢
- 11d agoBought No$199@ 99.6¢
- 11d agoBought No$200@ 99.8¢
- 11d agoBought No$198@ 99.0¢
- 11d agoBought No$117@ 99.7¢
- 11d agoBought No$199@ 99.5¢
- 11d agoBought No$149@ 74.5¢
- 11d agoBought No$199@ 99.6¢
- 11d agoBought No$198@ 98.9¢
- 11d agoBought No$138@ 90.9¢
- 12d agoBought GamerLegion$1.7K@ 64.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$191@ 99.5¢
- 12d agoBought Pablo Carreno Busta$1.3K@ 71.0¢
- 14d agoBought No$197@ 98.4¢
- 14d agoBought No$190@ 95.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.