AllByMyseIf
0x5188…c804View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$682
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
3
Open P&L (est.)
$-71.0K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$37.2K
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
293
Longshot exposure
100%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No$149.3K$4
- Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No$1.1K$86
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No$1.0K$312
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No$961$32
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$770$57
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?No$574$194
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No$462$59
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No$204$-287
- Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes$0$-23
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in November?Yes$0$-2
- Will Trump say "Iran" during Egypt summit?No$0$-4
- Will Trump say "Peace" or "Shalom" 5+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?No$0$-58
- Will Player 31 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes$0$-1
- Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?No$0$-145
- Will Sora be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?Yes$0$-55
- Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down - October 15Down$0$-13
- Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)Yes$0$-17
- Will Player 38 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes$0$-1
- Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Yes$0$-51
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes$0$-10.9K
- Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes?No$0$-33
- Will Trump say "N Word" in January?Yes$0$-132
- Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes$0$-44
- Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” before SeptemberYes$0$-2
- Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November?Yes$0$-106
- Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes$0$-465
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No$0$-117
- Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes$0$-136
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?No$0$-68
- Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes$0$-899
- Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes$0$-1.1K
- Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?No$0$-134
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No$0$-8.3K
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes$0$-146
- Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia by November 30?Yes$0$-12
- Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?No$0$-112
- Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Player 112 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes$0$-1
- Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10?No$0$-472
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?No$0$-655
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?No$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29?Down$0$-124
- Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes$0$-17
- Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up$0$-4
- US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No$0$-577
- Will Trump say "Obama" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Yes$0$-46
- Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?No$0$-9
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?No$0$-52
- Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Yes$0$-492
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?Yes$0$-420
- Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No$0$-7.4K
- Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes$0$-452
- Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2)No$0$-4
- Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes$0$-400
- Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes$0$-3.3K
- Will Leavitt say "Bill" or "Clinton" during the next White House press briefing?No$0$-152
- Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Yes$0$-238
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?Yes$0$-172
- Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes$0$-7
- Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?No$0$-1.8K
- Will Shayne say "Polymarket" 2+ times during 60 Minutes?No$0$-11
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No$0$-4.8K
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No$0$-221
- Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?No$0$-245
- Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes$0$-1.9K
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes$0$-185
- Will Leavitt say "President" 77+ times during the next White House press briefing?No$0$-75
- Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No$0$-61
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-120
- Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?Yes$0$-5
- Will Trump say "Olympic" during Panthers visit?Yes$0$-63
- Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?No$0$-91
- Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?No$0$-431
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes$0$-1.3K
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes$0$-8
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes$0$-2.5K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes$0$-8.1K
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No$0$-4.5K
- Will Player 162 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes$0$-1
- Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No$0$-156
- Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?Yes$0$-2
- Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes$0$-309
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No$0$-2
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No$0$-144
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano DarderiRafael Jodar$0$-53
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?Yes$0$-261
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?No$0$-510
- Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?No$0$-30
- No airdrop by January 10Yes$0$-1
- Will Trump disparage Ahmed al-Sharaa on Monday?Yes$0$-24
- Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes$0$-8
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes$0$-16
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 27?No$0$-13
- Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?Yes$0$-364
- Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?No$0$-13
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes$0$-1.1K
- Will Player 191 win Beast Games: Season 2?Yes$0$-115
- Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon EditionNo$0$-99
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes$0$-2.2K
- Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1?Down$0$-4
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 15h agoBought Yes$287@ 79.9¢
- 24h agoBought No$246@ 68.2¢
- 25h agoBought No$149@ 64.5¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.