Monstrous-Dew
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No$21.5K$1.6K
- Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No$15.3K$1.5K
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No$15.1K$2.8K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$10.2K$1.1K
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No$9.3K$-497
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$7.8K$-5.4K
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No$6.5K$-2.8K
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$5.8K$138
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No$5.5K$647
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No$5.4K$283
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$5.0K$-1.8K
- Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?No$4.5K$529
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No$4.4K$208
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$4.4K$560
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No$3.7K$253
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$3.3K$146
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No$3.1K$187
- Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026?No$2.9K$86
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$2.9K$159
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$2.8K$-1.3K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.7K$-2.1K
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$2.5K$1.5K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.4K$-958
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$2.4K$487
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.3K$-1.7K
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$2.1K$-152
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo$1.8K$14
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.5K$-789
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes$1.5K$474
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$1.4K$-412
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1.3K$54
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.2K$-9
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$1.2K$31
- Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$1.1K$-26
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$1.1K$-279
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No$1.1K$38
- Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No$1.1K$92
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No$1.0K$133
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$998$-332
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes$977$-149
- Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$967$-5
- Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$966$-5
- Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$961$-5
- Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$892$87
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$879$-51
- Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Yes$865$-58
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$814$137
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes$814$-798
- Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Yes$783$-114
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$777$253
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$733$-258
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$730$-2.1K
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No$724$-2.4K
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$706$-1.2K
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes$697$-16
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE$660$52
- Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes$659$73
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No$648$-333
- Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No$589$97
- Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?No$578$43
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$577$-852
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes$561$-505
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No$559$-7
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No$554$79
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$551$220
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes$547$-92
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE$528$59
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No$525$0
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$513$123
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$512$99
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No$500$-32
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes$495$111
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$491$-77
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$485$23
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No$480$-42
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$464$-495
- Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$60$457$-49
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes$442$-256
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No$437$63
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No$436$-190
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$416$-90
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$395$9
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$394$104
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes$385$-1.5K
- Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Yes$384$-365
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$378$-563
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$353$31
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No$352$64
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No$347$4
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes$345$-68
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes$344$-587
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes$344$-34
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$332$-555
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4?No$326$-109
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes$320$-1.1K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$312$-86
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$309$37
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No$306$16
- Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Yes$303$87
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes$300$-6
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 4h agoBought Leviatán Esports$117@ 75.0¢
- 4h agoBought Leviatán Esports$101@ 72.7¢
- 4h agoBought Leviatán Esports$157@ 74.5¢
- 4h agoBought San Diego Padres$115@ 65.3¢
- 7h agoBought Cleveland Guardians$186@ 56.0¢
- 7h agoBought Los Angeles Dodgers$252@ 63.0¢
- 7h agoBought Down$209@ 53.7¢
- 7h agoBought Down$254@ 59.7¢
- 8h agoBought Down$230@ 53.7¢
- 8h agoSold Down$399@ 66.8¢
- 8h agoBought Down$401@ 67.2¢
- 9h agoBought Titouan Droguet$135@ 60.0¢
- 9h agoSold Cloud9$100@ 78.9¢
- 10h agoBought New York Yankees$6.1K@ 49.0¢
- 11h agoBought Dane Sweeny$465@ 64.5¢
- 11h agoSold Karmine Corp$131@ 99.0¢
- 12h agoBought Hugo Gaston$467@ 68.0¢
- 12h agoBought Down$444@ 69.5¢
- 12h agoBought St. Louis Cardinals$184@ 40.0¢
- 13h agoBought Yes$263@ 20.9¢
- 15h agoBought Jaime Faria$256@ 62.0¢
- 15h agoBought Yes$194@ 83.0¢
- 15h agoBought Yes$189@ 89.0¢
- 15h agoBought Yes$194@ 89.0¢
- 15h agoSold SK Gaming$147@ 99.9¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Monstrous-Dew. The headline figures are $100 of traded volume, 22 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $-10.2K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $100 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $-10.2K is negative and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 45% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 22 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $100 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $-10.2K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is negative. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $-10.2K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 22 visible positions and the $100 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $100 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $-10.2K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently negative. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 22 visible positions and the $100 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.