Monstrous-Dew
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$24.3K$-7.5K
- Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No$14.9K$1.1K
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No$10.3K$5.5K
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$9.9K$-109
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes$6.8K$-3.2K
- Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?Yes$5.7K$123
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No$5.5K$392
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No$5.4K$-717
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$5.3K$86
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$4.8K$79
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$4.5K$703
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No$4.4K$222
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$4.3K$-1.4K
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$4.2K$2.3K
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$3.8K$949
- Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?No$3.7K$1.1K
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes$3.2K$1.2K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No$3.0K$2.0K
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes$3.0K$1.0K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$3.0K$842
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$2.8K$408
- Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Valentin RoyerDaniil Medvedev$2.5K$-16
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$2.4K$512
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$2.1K$-1.9K
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$2.1K$666
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.0K$221
- Eagles vs. BearsEagles$2.0K$43
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes$1.7K$101
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$1.7K$482
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.4K$1
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.3K$93
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo$1.2K$-535
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1.2K$-37
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No$1.2K$119
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$1.1K$-365
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes$1.1K$-11
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.1K$294
- Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes$1.0K$-5
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No$999$112
- Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No$998$30
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$921$-862
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$867$-16.5K
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$822$-108
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$797$-5.0K
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$739$106
- No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$697$-75
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No$678$-3.4K
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$668$-11
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$665$56
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$652$122
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes$649$-73
- Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Yes$643$-160
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes$629$-542
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$622$50
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No$614$11
- Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes$606$5
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No$598$307
- Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No$583$90
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$582$192
- Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?No$577$42
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No$574$98
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$547$-2.9K
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Yes$546$-520
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$541$-4.3K
- Seahawks vs. CommandersSeahawks$537$14
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes$536$-162
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$523$-355
- Solana Up or Down - September 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp$493$483
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$493$-307
- Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?No$475$17
- Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes$473$2
- Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes$462$21
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 26?Yes$458$2
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes$436$-33
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-08-11?Yes$429$56
- Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Yes$412$-53
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$410$117
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$378$-55
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$374$334
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$367$0
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$355$-3
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes$348$-7
- Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?No$346$-28
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No$345$-222
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$343$61
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes$334$-73
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No$312$-5
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$310$66
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$307$122
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes$306$-523
- Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes$302$81
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes$295$1
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Yes$285$101
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$280$-3
- Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?No$274$87
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$267$68
- Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Yes$256$9
- Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes$253$113
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No$251$28
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$249$-318
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 37d agoSold BoomBoys$178@ 78.5¢
- 37d agoBought TEAM VISION$281@ 77.0¢
- 37d agoBought Yes$936@ 73.0¢
- 37d agoSold Dplus KIA Challengers$335@ 99.9¢
- 37d agoSold No$937@ 83.6¢
- 37d agoSold No$1.0K@ 93.1¢
- 37d agoSold Team Spirit$429@ 99.9¢
- 37d agoSold Yes$495@ 99.9¢
- 37d agoSold Yes$114@ 99.9¢
- 37d agoBought Over$185@ 49.0¢
- 37d agoBought Zizou Bergs$335@ 80.0¢
- 37d agoSold Up$125@ 75.0¢
- 37d agoSold Toronto Blue Jays$902@ 24.3¢
- 37d agoBought Toronto Blue Jays$181@ 22.9¢
- 37d agoSold No$997@ 99.8¢
- 37d agoSold FURIA$229@ 99.9¢
- 37d agoSold FURIA$164@ 99.9¢
- 37d agoBought FURIA$465@ 58.0¢
- 38d agoBought Tommy Paul$181@ 15.0¢
- 38d agoBought Sorana Cirstea$1.8K@ 47.9¢
- 38d agoSold Up$122@ 77.9¢
- 38d agoBought Mirra Andreeva$186@ 53.0¢
- 38d agoBought Jakub Mensik$280@ 67.9¢
- 38d agoSold G2$136@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoBought Jessica Pegula$234@ 71.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Monstrous-Dew. The headline figures are $340 of traded volume, 26 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $-9.8K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $340 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $-9.8K is negative and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 62% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 26 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $340 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $-9.8K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is negative. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $-9.8K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 26 visible positions and the $340 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $340 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $-9.8K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently negative. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 26 visible positions and the $340 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.