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Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No$24.3K$458
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$16.8K$2.1K
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Over$11.3K$67
- Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?No$10.0K$-206
- Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$8.8K$343
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No$8.0K$199
- Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No$7.5K$247
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$5.2K$359
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No$5.0K$101
- Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No$4.1K$257
- Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$3.2K$-59
- Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No$2.7K$218
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No$1.8K$233
- Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?No$1.6K$-10
- Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?No$1.4K$541
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No$1.4K$277
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No$1.3K$35
- Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Gabriela CeEva Lys$925$-360
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No$778$21
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No$712$338
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$707$-21
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?No$644$75
- Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No$557$9
- Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Yes$437$27
- Weed rescheduled by September 30?No$188$12
- Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes$108$36
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?No$23$5
- Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes$8$-5
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes$7$0
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?Yes$6$-902
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes$1$-125
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes$0$-44
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerVitality$0$-11.8K
- Jacksonville State vs. OhioJacksonville State$0$-11.9K
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force$0$-5.6K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports$0$-31.2K
- Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown$0$-551
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBNK FEARX$0$-12.3K
- Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No$0$-1.7K
- Noche UFC: Jean Silva vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Main Card)Jose Miguel Delgado$0$-6.8K
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster$0$-22.1K
- Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?No$0$-1
- US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti$0$-4.4K
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerMOUZ$0$-8.4K
- LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?Yes$0$-1.7K
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsNinjas in Pyjamas$0$-13.3K
- Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?No$0$-1.7K
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports$0$-227
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT1$0$-14.6K
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-08-28?Yes$0$-7.9K
- Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes$0$-1.7K
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports$0$-15.2K
- Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?No$0$-103
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerFnatic$0$-2.8K
- Broncos vs. ChiefsBroncos$0$-12.3K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1$0$-818
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming$0$-19.7K
- LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No$0$-89
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming$0$-4.2K
- Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown$0$-1.3K
- Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Diane ParryClara Tauson$0$-6.3K
- LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?No$0$-1.9K
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09?No$0$-1.2K
- Ohio State vs. TexasOhio State$0$-5.5K
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?Yes$0$-11.1K
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports$0$-36.6K
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA$0$-30.7K
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 WinnerAnyone's Legend$0$-13.1K
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA$0$-21.1K
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes$0$-2.0K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsT1$0$-2.2K
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerT1$0$-29.3K
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 WinnerAnyone's Legend$0$-13.6K
- UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Yan Xiaonan$0$-42.5K
- 49ers vs. RaidersRaiders$0$-29.9K
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp$0$-30.3K
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs100 Thieves$0$0
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 WinnerMovistar KOI$0$-17.2K
- LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerTeam Vitality$0$-11.4K
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?Yes$0$-3.9K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1$0$-17.2K
- LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes$0$-1.0K
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerHanwha Life Esports$0$-20.1K
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerNongshim Red Force$0$-1.7K
- Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)Benn$0$-3.9K
- LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsG2 NORD$0$-190
- US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur GeaJuan Manuel Cerundolo$0$-30.5K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerG2$0$-8.2K
- LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports$0$-7.6K
- Oregon vs. Oklahoma StateOregon$0$-32.7K
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBNK FEARX$0$-27.0K
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerFnatic$0$-4.2K
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?Yes$0$-42
- Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?Yes$0$-489
- Porto: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro CanasAlejandro Moro Canas$0$-26.3K
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy$0$-462
- US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco CerundoloTaylor Fritz$0$-9.5K
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerT1$0$-47.6K
- LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No$0$-99
- Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City RoyalsMiami Marlins$0$-48.7K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 27d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$2.8K@ 62.6¢
- 27d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$5.6K@ 56.0¢
- 32d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$7.6K@ 58.9¢
- 32d agoBought KT Rolster$1.8K@ 58.0¢
- 32d agoBought KT Rolster$2.1K@ 38.0¢
- 32d agoBought KT Rolster$2.2K@ 37.0¢
- 33d agoBought Yes$1.3K@ 52.6¢
- 34d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$1.1K@ 79.0¢
- 34d agoBought Gen.G$3.3K@ 51.0¢
- 35d agoSold Milwaukee Brewers$3.0K@ 47.0¢
- 36d agoBought DN SOOPers$124@ 69.0¢
- 37d agoBought SK Gaming$3.5K@ 53.6¢
- 38d agoBought Gen.G$848@ 70.0¢
- 42d agoBought Gen.G$1.3K@ 77.0¢
- 54d agoBought Daria Snigur$6.4K@ 77.0¢
- 54d agoBought JD Gaming$5.9K@ 73.0¢
- 55d agoBought Detroit Tigers$4.4K@ 74.0¢
- 55d agoBought Detroit Tigers$504@ 74.0¢
- 55d agoBought 100 Thieves$1.3K@ 67.6¢
- 55d agoBought JD Gaming$310@ 62.0¢
- 55d agoBought JD Gaming$2.8K@ 60.0¢
- 55d agoBought JD Gaming$371@ 49.9¢
- 56d agoBought San Francisco Giants$5.0K@ 55.0¢
- 56d agoBought GamerLegion$466@ 19.9¢
- 56d agoSold LGD Gaming$1.0K@ 36.3¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.