Themsnw
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes$85.3K$-39.1K
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes$9.8K$-38.2K
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes$3.7K$-5.7K
- Cody Bellinger: Home Runs O/U 0.5Over$0$-1.6K
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance$0$-37.7K
- Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur FeryFlavio Cobolli$0$-10.0K
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks$0$-1,000
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes$0$-13.0K
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor$0$-10.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?Yes$0$-625
- Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur FeryGrigor Dimitrov$0$-18.9K
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevArthur Fery$0$-2.0K
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees$0$-46.2K
- Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Daniel AltmaierDaniel Altmaier$0$-23.2K
- Zug: Max Hans Rehberg vs Anton MatusevichAnton Matusevich$0$-23.0K
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen ZhengQinwen Zheng$0$-214.1K
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsDetroit Tigers$0$-85.3K
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds$0$-274.5K
- Spread: France (-2.5)France$0$-3.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes$0$-215
- Will the announcers say "Goat" during McGregor vs Holloway?Yes$0$-10
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?Yes$0$-49.5K
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States$0$-37.5K
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain$0$-538
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees$0$-107.8K
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsYes$0$-5.0K
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina$0$-51.0K
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle MarinersToronto Blue Jays$0$-200
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp$0$-394
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina$0$-12.0K
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers$0$-25.0K
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsLos Angeles Angels$0$-31.3K
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes$0$-120.6K
- Spread: England (-1.5)England$0$-3.0K
- Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes$0$-4.1K
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5$0$-32.6K
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaKarolina Muchova$0$-3.5K
- Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes$0$-10.0K
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes$0$-25.0K
- Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise MertensElise Mertens$0$-5.0K
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsYes$0$-5.0K
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami MarlinsSeattle Mariners$0$-552
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee BrewersMiami Marlins$0$-25.9K
- Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?Yes$0$-500
- Will the announcers say "Notorious" during McGregor vs Holloway?Yes$0$-500
- Spread: France (-2.5)France$0$-2.0K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 8d agoBought Yes$17.6K@ 46.5¢
- 8d agoBought Los Angeles Angels$5.0K@ 24.0¢
- 8d agoBought Los Angeles Angels$473@ 14.9¢
- 8d agoBought Los Angeles Angels$4.0K@ 20.0¢
- 8d agoBought Los Angeles Angels$6.9K@ 17.7¢
- 8d agoBought Los Angeles Angels$4.5K@ 21.6¢
- 8d agoBought Los Angeles Angels$10.5K@ 61.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$65.6K@ 99.7¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$9.2K@ 42.1¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$4.0K@ 53.3¢
- 11d agoBought New York Yankees$107.8K@ 64.0¢
- 12d agoSold Los Angeles Dodgers$134.4K@ 48.0¢
- 12d agoSold Justin Boulais$6.1K@ 10.1¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$2.6K@ 8.3¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$2.4K@ 11.6¢
- 13d agoBought No$9.7K@ 87.2¢
- 13d agoBought Facundo Acosta$17.6K@ 35.0¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$556@ 47.9¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$10.0K@ 47.2¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$10.0K@ 49.6¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$8.0K@ 49.5¢
- 15d agoSold Yes$1.3K@ 15.0¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$5.3K@ 47.9¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$4.7K@ 51.2¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$3.5K@ 41.4¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.