tetrose
0x7447…a16dView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$168.8K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-110.6K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$41.5K
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
230
Longshot exposure
22%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No$52.4K$-33
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$25.8K$24.6K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$25.1K$760
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes$9.4K$627
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$6.6K$-397
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No$5.0K$-138
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$4.7K$-168
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No$4.7K$-4.8K
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes$4.0K$-1.3K
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes$4.0K$-181
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes$3.2K$-308
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes$2.9K$684
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes$1.9K$-390
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$1.4K$393
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes$869$-14
- Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$725$-442
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No$724$91
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes$679$-1.4K
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes$450$-308
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes$436$-844
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No$417$12
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$266$-901
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$216$-82
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes$178$-387
- Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$141$65
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$138$-1.1K
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes$136$-27
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes$130$-39
- Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?Yes$121$23
- Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$121$-1.0K
- Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$121$-1.0K
- Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$121$-1.0K
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$90$90
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$90$-76
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$88$88
- Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$51$-1.4K
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes$37$6
- Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$37$-1.3K
- Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$37$-1.3K
- Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$31$-1.2K
- Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$24$-1.1K
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$24$-1.1K
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$24$-1.1K
- Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$24$-1.1K
- Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$24$-1.1K
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?No$17$11
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes$9$-201
- Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$6$-24
- Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$6$-24
- Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$6$-24
- Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$6$-24
- Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$6$-24
- Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$6$-24
- Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$6$-24
- Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$6$-24
- Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$6$-656
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes$5$-1.2K
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$1$-308
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$1$-9
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes$1$-4
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$1$0
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$0$0
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$0$0
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes$0$-0
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes$0$-4.3K
- Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Yes$0$-757
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Yes$0$-3.4K
- Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes$0$-35
- Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes$0$-860
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes$0$-918
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No$0$-5
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes$0$-14.2K
- Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes$0$-841
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-4.6K
- Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?Yes$0$-259
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of January?No$0$-112
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Yes$0$-2.3K
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes$0$-600
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes$0$-1.1K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes$0$-4.3K
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No$0$-4.5K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Yes$0$-3.8K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?No$0$-4.3K
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No$0$-1.7K
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?No$0$-39
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes$0$-104
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-973
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes$0$-88
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes$0$-15
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes$0$-261
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?Yes$0$-5.9K
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-264
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes$0$-5.6K
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes$0$-1.5K
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes$0$-646
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Yes$0$-34.1K
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Yes$0$-368
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes$0$-3.6K
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?Yes$0$-937
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 33d agoSold Yes$521@ 4.4¢
- 36d agoSold Yes$180@ 0.9¢
- 38d agoSold Yes$1.6K@ 53.3¢
- 38d agoSold Yes$480@ 2.4¢
- 38d agoSold Yes$1.8K@ 22.7¢
- 39d agoSold Yes$140@ 0.7¢
- 39d agoSold Yes$100@ 0.5¢
- 39d agoSold Yes$100@ 0.5¢
- 39d agoSold Yes$100@ 0.5¢
- 41d agoBought No$5.9K@ 7.3¢
- 42d agoSold Yes$1.7K@ 15.0¢
- 43d agoBought Yes$16.8K@ 42.0¢
- 43d agoSold Yes$6.6K@ 5.7¢
- 43d agoSold No$26.9K@ 62.0¢
- 45d agoBought Yes$588@ 4.3¢
- 45d agoBought No$1.5K@ 13.9¢
- 46d agoSold Yes$5.7K@ 6.0¢
- 46d agoBought No$250@ 25.0¢
- 46d agoBought No$250@ 25.0¢
- 48d agoSold Yes$435@ 7.0¢
- 49d agoBought Yes$431@ 86.6¢
- 49d agoBought Yes$784@ 59.1¢
- 50d agoSold Yes$6.2K@ 8.0¢
- 50d agoBought Yes$373@ 12.0¢
- 52d agoBought No$153@ 0.6¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.