Car
0x7c3d…5c6bView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$137.1K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-2.9K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$29.2K
Hit rate (resolved)
33%
Resolved positions
9
Longshot exposure
76%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$305.0K$105.0K
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$95.0K$-105.0K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$25.4K$1.1K
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$14.0K$25
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No$11.2K$2.4K
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No$9.7K$35
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No$8.9K$50
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$8.3K$80
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No$8.0K$6
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No$7.8K$200
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No$7.6K$-11
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$7.0K$82
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No$6.0K$-27
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No$5.9K$57
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No$4.8K$-7
- Trump out as President before 2027?No$4.7K$-25
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo$4.4K$75
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$4.4K$75
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$4.4K$75
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No$4.4K$1
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes$3.9K$264
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No$3.9K$-14
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No$3.3K$27
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?No$2.8K$15
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$2.8K$15
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$2.7K$38
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes$2.6K$-4.3K
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.5K$-1.4K
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No$2.1K$63
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No$2.1K$46
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No$2.0K$136
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No$1.9K$-1
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?No$1.9K$-10
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No$1.9K$-11
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No$1.9K$-10
- Iran coup attempt by December 31?No$1.8K$30
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No$1.8K$142
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.7K$-1.8K
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes$1.7K$-30
- Trump goes to space in 2026?No$1.6K$48
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No$1.6K$-520
- NATO dissolves before 2027?No$1.6K$68
- US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Yes$1.5K$138
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.4K$555
- Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No$1.2K$63
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes$1.2K$-361
- Indiana lions in custody by Friday noon ET?No$1.2K$26
- Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No$1.2K$12
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$1.2K$-35
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No$1.1K$48
- Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No$1.1K$72
- Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No$1.0K$11
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$979$37
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No$945$-3
- Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?No$945$45
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No$905$3
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes$903$-406
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No$898$10
- Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No$883$-50
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No$830$6
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No$824$5
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No$803$-205
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No$765$22
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No$740$39
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No$739$13
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes$720$-74
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No$716$8
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No$692$-12
- Will Elon register any party before 2027?No$685$89
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$661$39
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$624$63
- Indiana lions in custody by August 29, 2026 11:59 PM ET?No$615$5
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Yes$591$46
- Indiana lions in custody by September 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET?No$583$16
- Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?No$566$20
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No$558$24
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No$537$24
- Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No$536$23
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No$512$12
- Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?No$500$18
- Indiana lions in custody by August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET?No$491$7
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes$456$-514
- Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?No$454$-3
- Indiana lions in custody by August 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET?No$443$5
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes$427$-41
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No$416$160
- Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?No$405$9
- GTA VI released by November 30?Yes$397$39
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No$374$2
- Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?No$364$9
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes$355$165
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes$324$-0
- Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?No$311$5
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes$310$-175
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Yes$296$-6
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$291$33
- Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No$287$23
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No$276$25
- Iran leadership change by November 30?No$270$-0
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes$257$-12
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 9d agoBought Yes$980@ 98.0¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$3.9K@ 97.8¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$710@ 71.0¢
- 10d agoSold Yes$277@ 0.7¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$1.9K@ 93.0¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$145@ 8.0¢
- 10d agoBought No$778@ 97.3¢
- 10d agoBought No$424@ 94.7¢
- 10d agoSold No$136@ 41.2¢
- 11d agoBought No$933@ 93.3¢
- 11d agoSold Yes$102@ 5.0¢
- 11d agoBought No$472@ 85.0¢
- 11d agoSold No$2.1K@ 57.2¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$172@ 15.0¢
- 11d agoSold No$383@ 87.0¢
- 11d agoSold No$229@ 76.3¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$201@ 7.0¢
- 11d agoBought No$2.1K@ 96.0¢
- 11d agoBought No$5.2K@ 95.4¢
- 11d agoBought No$212@ 64.7¢
- 11d agoSold No$4.6K@ 83.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$4.7K@ 94.0¢
- 12d agoSold Yes$198@ 11.0¢
- 13d agoSold Yes$254@ 3.6¢
- 15d agoSold Yes$338@ 49.3¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.