nojnn
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$462.1K$63.0K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$74.5K$10.8K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes$33.5K$4.0K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No$18.5K$5.0K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$14.0K$751
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$12.4K$-1.5K
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?No$9.6K$922
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No$5.4K$247
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No$5.1K$787
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$4.1K$540
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$4.1K$456
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?No$4.0K$265
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes$3.8K$233
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No$3.6K$-37
- Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$2.6K$160
- Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes$1.6K$87
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes$1.1K$83
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No$1.1K$-27
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No$625$165
- Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$288$52
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$278$20
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$277$30
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes$220$145
- Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?No$65$8
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes$56$-3
- Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?No$54$-1
- Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$0$-2.5K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No$0$-53.2K
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No$0$-17.5K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No$0$-44
- Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes$0$-4
- Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5Under$0$-3.0K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No$0$-47.2K
- Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes$0$-1,000
- Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia$0$-1.9K
- Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$0$-3.2K
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes$0$-450
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs$0$-4.3K
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No$0$-9.3K
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-3.9K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No$0$-1.1K
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Yes$0$-2.0K
- Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$0$-1.1K
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes$0$-1.1K
- Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No$0$-2.5K
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Yes$0$-3.2K
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-5.3K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No$0$-8
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No$0$-2.8K
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No$0$-4.4K
- Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No$0$-165
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No$0$-1.3K
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No$0$-9.0K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 42d agoBought No$117@ 95.0¢
- 42d agoBought Yes$880@ 91.0¢
- 42d agoBought Yes$5.9K@ 92.0¢
- 42d agoBought No$432@ 96.0¢
- 42d agoBought No$862@ 81.0¢
- 44d agoBought Yes$834@ 84.6¢
- 44d agoBought No$333@ 81.5¢
- 44d agoBought No$272@ 78.7¢
- 45d agoBought No$52.0K@ 82.0¢
- 48d agoBought Yes$1.1K@ 94.0¢
- 48d agoBought Yes$1.6K@ 87.0¢
- 48d agoBought Yes$725@ 94.0¢
- 48d agoBought Yes$19.2K@ 95.0¢
- 48d agoBought Yes$2.5K@ 95.0¢
- 48d agoSold Yes$2.5K@ 99.8¢
- 50d agoBought Yes$764@ 94.0¢
- 50d agoBought Yes$1,000@ 92.0¢
- 50d agoSold No$6.1K@ 94.8¢
- 50d agoBought Yes$312@ 93.0¢
- 50d agoBought Yes$1.5K@ 93.0¢
- 50d agoBought Yes$4.4K@ 92.0¢
- 50d agoSold New York Mets$4.4K@ 99.9¢
- 50d agoBought New York Mets$865@ 95.9¢
- 50d agoBought New York Mets$1.1K@ 96.9¢
- 50d agoSold Yes$2.0K@ 98.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.