stupid22
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$176.0K$1.1K
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No$105.8K$2.0K
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No$81.3K$-446
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$70.5K$-175
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No$35.2K$668
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No$29.5K$-351
- Iran leadership change by September 30?No$22.2K$418
- Trump out as President before 2027?No$19.6K$178
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$18.7K$164
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No$18.1K$-63
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes$14.6K$802
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No$10.5K$103
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No$10.4K$115
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No$9.9K$330
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?No$9.8K$-122
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$9.7K$430
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No$9.5K$160
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?No$9.5K$-269
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo$9.1K$-52
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$8.6K$2.0K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$8.2K$-1.4K
- Iran leadership change by October 31?No$7.6K$68
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$7.6K$212
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$6.9K$642
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$5.4K$565
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$5.4K$-343
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes$5.4K$100
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$5.2K$2.2K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?No$5.1K$-702
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes$4.3K$97
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?No$3.0K$30
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$2.9K$-1.0K
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No$2.3K$19
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes$2.0K$169
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$1.9K$1
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No$1.8K$10
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?No$1.2K$13
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?No$961$20
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?No$919$-3
- Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?No$396$1
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo$132$4
- Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No$121$11
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No$120$4
- China coup attempt before 2027?No$5$0
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-402
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$0$-39
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$0$-196
- Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes$0$-688
- Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes$0$-1
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 26d agoBought No$175@ 99.9¢
- 26d agoBought Yes$417@ 99.9¢
- 27d agoBought No$7.0K@ 95.5¢
- 28d agoBought No$4.0K@ 99.3¢
- 29d agoBought No$5.0K@ 98.3¢
- 31d agoBought No$5.7K@ 99.1¢
- 31d agoBought No$2.0K@ 97.3¢
- 31d agoSold Yes$2.2K@ 38.0¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$2.3K@ 99.9¢
- 33d agoBought No$411@ 95.5¢
- 33d agoBought Yes$705@ 99.9¢
- 33d agoBought No$6.0K@ 99.1¢
- 34d agoBought No$427@ 95.5¢
- 34d agoBought No$946@ 95.4¢
- 34d agoBought Yes$473@ 99.9¢
- 35d agoSold No$831@ 95.5¢
- 35d agoSold No$4.0K@ 95.5¢
- 35d agoBought Yes$2.5K@ 99.3¢
- 36d agoBought No$149@ 97.0¢
- 36d agoBought No$181@ 72.6¢
- 36d agoBought No$133@ 59.4¢
- 37d agoBought No$13.0K@ 99.9¢
- 37d agoBought No$1.2K@ 99.7¢
- 37d agoSold No$1.2K@ 97.6¢
- 38d agoBought No$2.5K@ 99.8¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.