End123
0x8df7…36c4View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$100.4K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$6.5K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$984
Hit rate (resolved)
9%
Resolved positions
22
Longshot exposure
2%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$110.7K$5.2K
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$22.0K$3.2K
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No$7.8K$1.0K
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$5.5K$798
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$5.5K$673
- Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?No$4.9K$920
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No$4.9K$307
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes$4.5K$-1.7K
- Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?Yes$4.4K$272
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$3.4K$-439
- Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Yes$3.3K$28
- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No$2.0K$34
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes$1.6K$-153
- Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleYes$1.4K$-5
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No$1.2K$104
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?Yes$1.0K$161
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No$1.0K$17
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic$950$1
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Yes$898$-458
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by August 31?No$894$-61
- Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No$712$234
- MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?No$703$44
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31?No$672$-217
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31?No$672$-115
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Yes$659$294
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$621$-221
- Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes$616$66
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31?Yes$559$107
- Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?No$508$-14
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?Yes$508$69
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No$484$-30
- Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No$430$86
- Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?No$429$34
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$415$-85
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?Yes$412$-15
- Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?No$373$17
- Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No$342$51
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No$341$-108
- Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?No$313$56
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes$266$-17
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes$262$129
- MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?Judge$240$-2.9K
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31?Yes$236$-54
- Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No$221$14
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?No$176$7
- Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?Yes$138$-162
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Yes$115$-170
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31?Yes$108$-58
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No$107$15
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?No$105$4
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No$104$-7
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?No$90$3
- Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No$84$17
- Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?Yes$81$18
- OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?Meta$76$2
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Yes$73$11
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?No$73$15
- Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Yes$70$7
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?Yes$64$-92
- Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No$58$4
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes$57$-1
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?No$54$8
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?No$53$3
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?No$49$-5
- Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?No$47$2
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No$44$2
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No$44$-1
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31?No$42$0
- Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?Yes$41$6
- Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No$40$2
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?No$38$1
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?Yes$35$17
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?No$33$1
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?No$33$1
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?No$32$-8
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?No$32$3
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes$32$-5
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?No$25$0
- Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?Yes$24$8
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Yes$24$-16
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $400B by December 31?No$23$-5
- Will Mark Lynch place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes$23$-211
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes$20$7
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?No$19$1
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No$16$-212
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31?Yes$15$1
- Will the Rams win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes$15$3
- Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?No$13$6
- Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes$12$-1
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?No$11$3
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?No$9$5
- Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?No$8$-1
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $525B by August 31?Yes$8$-1
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No$6$-0
- Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?No$5$-0
- Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?No$4$-0
- MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?Yes$4$-2
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No$4$1
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?Yes$3$-31
- Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes$2$-0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 9d agoBought Movistar KOI$2.9K@ 88.0¢
- 18d agoSold No$97.2K@ 81.0¢
- 27d agoSold No$388@ 12.5¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.