definitelyNotBot
0x99c4…18e7View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$314.1K
Open positions
82
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-213.2K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$2.82M
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
82
Longshot exposure
33%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?No$0$-9.5K
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes$0$-1.7K
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?No$0$-7.7K
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany$0$-5.2K
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$0$-54.0K
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes$0$-364
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?No$0$-7.1K
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-4.1K
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes$0$-2.9K
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?No$0$-4.1K
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands$0$-3.0K
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes$0$-3.1K
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-866
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-520
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over$0$-0
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes$0$-2.7K
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia$0$-20
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?No$0$-10.0K
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-401
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Under$0$-2.0K
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil$0$-706
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-4.5K
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina$0$-87
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-448
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes$0$-13.9K
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No$0$-26.2K
- Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?No$0$-3.3K
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?No$0$-5.8K
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?No$0$-3.4K
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-285
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceCabo Verde$0$-10
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes$0$-600
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceBosnia and Herzegovina$0$-850
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-1.3K
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?No$0$-2.4K
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?Yes$0$-662
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?No$0$-13.9K
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?No$0$-172
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over$0$-24
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?No$0$-4.1K
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Under$0$-616
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-250
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?No$0$-759
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 14d agoBought Argentina$156@ 7.8¢
- 14d agoBought Spain$742@ 91.0¢
- 14d agoBought Yes$122@ 5.0¢
- 14d agoBought Spain$1.9K@ 94.3¢
- 14d agoBought Spain$1.9K@ 94.1¢
- 14d agoBought Spain$1.9K@ 94.0¢
- 14d agoBought No$1.8K@ 84.3¢
- 14d agoBought No$1.8K@ 84.3¢
- 14d agoBought No$354@ 68.0¢
- 14d agoBought No$109@ 39.0¢
- 14d agoBought Yes$1.2K@ 39.4¢
- 14d agoBought Yes$1.2K@ 39.0¢
- 14d agoBought No$330@ 67.8¢
- 14d agoBought Argentina$1.4K@ 38.7¢
- 14d agoBought Argentina$971@ 38.3¢
- 14d agoBought Argentina$1.3K@ 38.3¢
- 14d agoBought No$1.4K@ 67.2¢
- 14d agoBought No$1.8K@ 85.0¢
- 14d agoBought No$1.8K@ 85.0¢
- 14d agoBought Argentina$1.3K@ 38.3¢
- 14d agoBought Argentina$1.3K@ 38.3¢
- 14d agoBought No$1.8K@ 84.9¢
- 14d agoBought No$1.8K@ 84.8¢
- 14d agoBought No$1.8K@ 84.8¢
- 14d agoBought No$2.0K@ 78.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.