Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over$10.7K$4.8K
- France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over$10.6K$5.4K
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE$9.3K$1.2K
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit$9.3K$-61
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Molde FK$6.1K$775
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Team WE$5.4K$1.1K
- NK Celje vs. NK Maribor: O/U 5.5Under$3.2K$310
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupHANJIN BRION$2.9K$-20
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$2.6K$50
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?No$2.5K$1.4K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No$2.0K$-92
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE$1.8K$209
- LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerGen.G$1.7K$606
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE$1.4K$-11
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports$1.1K$-19
- Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-02?Yes$1.1K$-12
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming$1.1K$-861
- Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under$951$-6
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$940$-13
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under$931$-22
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3?No$923$58
- Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank HawksFukuoka SoftBank Hawks$912$-94
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes$808$289
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports$802$3
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$797$-155
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under$741$-21
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-18?Yes$683$273
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over$674$384
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 2?Yes$659$5
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Yes$592$73
- Will Tampereen Ilves win on 2026-08-02?Yes$584$9
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$550$-86
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming$508$-15
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$495$181
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaInvictus Gaming$479$2
- Exact Score: IF Brommapojkarna 1 - 3 Malmo FF?Yes$476$-95
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsSt. Louis Cardinals$471$-6
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver$447$130
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$422$34
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over$391$89
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown$366$108
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsExecration$360$79
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver$358$29
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No$350$-119
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No$329$211
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$314$-161
- Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?Down$259$-391
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes$234$44
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming$226$74
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over$206$-78
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 2?No$196$36
- Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No$188$-3
- Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL$172$41
- Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2026-08-01?No$170$27
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under$169$-304
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC$166$-24
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4?No$166$-21
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 7?No$164$-12
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerExecration$155$124
- Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No$144$1
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC leading at halftime?Yes$140$-3
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes$137$-19
- Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by August 31?Yes$134$-58
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?Yes$130$-11
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes$125$-0
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes$124$5
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 2?No$123$18
- Swedish Open, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Thomas FaurelThomas Faurel$121$40
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$114$3
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes$114$9
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes$112$-0
- LoL: NCG Esports vs LYON Academy (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonNCG Esports$110$5
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming$109$-36
- Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver$105$9
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?Yes$105$12
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?Yes$105$-2
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsPlayTime$100$31
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?Yes$97$-2
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?Yes$96$48
- Exact Score: Ulsan HD FC 0 - 0 FC Anyang?Yes$93$-7
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Under$90$-1
- IF Brommapojkarna vs. Malmo FF: Both Teams to ScoreNo$87$-2
- Rainbow Six Siege: SCARZ vs KINOTROPE gaming (BO3) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 PlayoffsKINOTROPE gaming$86$38
- Exact Score: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC 0 - 0 Gwangju FC?Yes$85$-10
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$84$-2
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo$83$-4
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 2 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$82$46
- Will Paris FC vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes$77$58
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?Yes$76$-18
- Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO$76$17
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over$73$-3
- Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Over$73$1
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?Yes$73$-2
- Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Dylan DietrichJerome Kym$71$23
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes$65$-2
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes$63$-4
- Jeonnam Dragons vs. Paju Frontier FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes$62$-1
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerExecration$61$2
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)HANJIN BRION$61$-1
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes$61$7
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 20m agoBought Up$187@ 26.0¢
- 23m agoSold Down$153@ 61.3¢
- 23m agoSold Down$381@ 72.0¢
- 25m agoBought Down$280@ 36.0¢
- 52m agoBought Team WE$2.4K@ 69.0¢
- 1h agoBought Team WE$190@ 69.0¢
- 1h agoSold Yes$125@ 99.7¢
- 3h agoBought Up$502@ 90.3¢
- 3h agoBought PlayTime$186@ 76.0¢
- 3h agoSold NRG$261@ 70.6¢
- 3h agoSold Up$378@ 85.0¢
- 3h agoBought Leviatán Esports$190@ 54.3¢
- 5h agoBought Boston Red Sox$5.3K@ 32.9¢
- 6h agoBought Leviatán Esports$190@ 58.3¢
- 6h agoSold Karmine Corp$867@ 99.9¢
- 6h agoBought Leviatán Esports$593@ 32.0¢
- 6h agoBought Pittsburgh Pirates$457@ 87.0¢
- 6h agoBought Under$362@ 38.0¢
- 7h agoBought Yes$198@ 50.0¢
- 8h agoBought FlyQuest$476@ 24.0¢
- 8h agoBought Taylor Fritz$667@ 59.0¢
- 8h agoSold Maya Joint$103@ 90.5¢
- 8h agoBought Yes$128@ 61.0¢
- 9h agoSold Cloud9$143@ 99.9¢
- 9h agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$987@ 78.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Favorable-Pepper-Brushing. The headline figures are $318 of traded volume, 20 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $6.9K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $318 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $6.9K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 60% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 20 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $318 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $6.9K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $6.9K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 20 visible positions and the $318 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $318 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $6.9K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 20 visible positions and the $318 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.