Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?No$13.4K$-1.7K
- France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over$10.7K$4.8K
- France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over$10.6K$5.4K
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$8.3K$832
- Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes$7.8K$-279
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No$6.9K$-105
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Molde FK$6.1K$775
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$5.3K$-929
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes$5.2K$113
- FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes$4.3K$-261
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No$3.1K$841
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$2.5K$-29
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes$2.4K$20
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes$2.3K$370
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsXtreme Gaming$2.3K$-16
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No$1.9K$24
- LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerGen.G$1.7K$606
- Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes$1.6K$-8
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No$1.6K$532
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$1.6K$268
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1.4K$-9
- Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Yes$1.2K$383
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$1.1K$142
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No$1.1K$270
- FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under$1.1K$-301
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1.0K$-27
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?Yes$1.0K$-103
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$997$13
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 172.5Over$928$-24
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$916$-368
- Bahamas vs. Saint-Martin: O/U 3.5Over$903$424
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes$808$289
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CPaper Rex$688$-19
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-18?Yes$683$273
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over$674$384
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes$605$37
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes$554$-43
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$515$130
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group AT1 Academy$509$-4
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$503$190
- América de Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro: O/U 2.5Over$502$26
- Aruba vs. Antigua and Barbuda: O/U 2.5Over$480$4
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$472$-221
- CSD Xelajú MC vs. Antigua GFC: O/U 2.5Over$467$-10
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver$447$130
- Will White House post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes$445$134
- Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes$424$120
- Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$405$167
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$388$4
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes$384$14
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown$366$108
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over$361$26
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No$339$-35
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?No$321$-53
- Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in September?No$308$19
- Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx$306$111
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No$302$13
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes$291$-232
- Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CTYLOO$284$-4
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$275$30
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No$265$32
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No$258$71
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?Yes$254$32
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsLuminosity$249$48
- San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin GomezFederico Agustin Gomez$246$7
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Yes$244$42
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX - Map 4 WinnerLuminosity$243$60
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$238$51
- Exact Score: FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 3 - 3 PFC CSKA Sofia?Yes$238$230
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?No$237$15
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming$226$74
- Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?Yes$219$-1
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?No$217$30
- LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion PlayoffsKawaii Kiwis$216$110
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs3DMAX$214$-55
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No$211$26
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No$206$14
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?No$204$17
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No$199$13
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-23?Yes$199$9
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?No$198$-85
- FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes$195$134
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No$193$-1
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes$193$21
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesArizona Diamondbacks$189$-2
- Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes$188$-3
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$187$-169
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes$185$3
- Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?Yes$183$-17
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes$183$40
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$175$33
- Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL$172$41
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$170$13
- Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$165$-128
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$161$-5
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?Yes$154$3
- San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin GomezTrevor Svajda$153$-37
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Semente do Mal (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group StagepaiN Academy$153$-12
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$145$3
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No$145$-67
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 35d agoBought ThunderTalk Gaming$236@ 38.5¢
- 35d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$298@ 87.6¢
- 35d agoSold TEAM VISION$379@ 62.0¢
- 35d agoBought BoomBoys$1.4K@ 37.9¢
- 35d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$431@ 92.0¢
- 35d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$438@ 92.0¢
- 35d agoBought ThunderTalk Gaming$143@ 29.2¢
- 35d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$148@ 99.9¢
- 35d agoBought Up$186@ 51.8¢
- 35d agoSold TEAM VISION$314@ 29.3¢
- 35d agoBought Up$187@ 38.2¢
- 35d agoBought Dplus KIA$610@ 64.0¢
- 35d agoBought TEAM VISION$476@ 83.0¢
- 35d agoBought Dplus KIA$2.9K@ 52.0¢
- 35d agoBought Dplus KIA$143@ 48.0¢
- 35d agoBought BoomBoys$268@ 32.0¢
- 35d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$399@ 53.0¢
- 35d agoSold Dplus KIA Challengers$413@ 99.9¢
- 35d agoBought Dplus KIA$1.9K@ 48.0¢
- 35d agoBought BoomBoys$190@ 32.0¢
- 35d agoSold BoomBoys$294@ 11.0¢
- 35d agoBought Atlanta Dream$143@ 79.0¢
- 35d agoBought Kiwoom DRX Challengers$1.9K@ 32.7¢
- 35d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$166@ 70.3¢
- 35d agoBought Kiwoom DRX Challengers$213@ 67.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Favorable-Pepper-Brushing. The headline figures are $347 of traded volume, 22 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $8.8K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $347 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $8.8K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 64% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 22 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $347 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $8.8K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $8.8K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 22 visible positions and the $347 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $347 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $8.8K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 22 visible positions and the $347 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.