alpheclabs
0xb4d2…ce99View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$570.6K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
30
Open P&L (est.)
$-12.7K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$2.7K
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
31
Longshot exposure
100%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupHANJIN BRION$6.7K$174
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$2.6K$2.3K
- Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No$2.1K$-452
- Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No$2.0K$-77
- Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No$1.2K$216
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$1.1K$542
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$947$331
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic$837$-33
- KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT WizKT Wiz$822$24
- Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No$743$170
- Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?No$727$50
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL$305$154
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupDN SOOPers$303$32
- Will Peter Malnati win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No$299$18
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster$276$0
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?Yes$276$30
- Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu LionsSaitama Seibu Lions$223$151
- Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No$187$8
- Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$180$96
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam$130$-1
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Rocket Classic?No$127$8
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group StageCTBC Flying Oyster$113$-31
- KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha EaglesHanwha Eagles$94$35
- Will CA Ferrocarril Midland win on 2026-08-02?No$87$51
- Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$80$-0
- Orix Buffaloes vs. Saitama Seibu LionsSaitama Seibu Lions$74$-152
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFluxo W7M$70$13
- KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC DinosKia Tigers$67$-3
- Will Denver Summit FC win on 2026-08-02?No$66$-2
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$65$1
- Spread: Ajax Amsterdam (-2.5)FC Volendam$57$1
- Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaZETA DIVISION$56$5
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaDRX$55$-11
- Metro Bank One Day Cup: Hampshire vs DurhamDurham$54$-4
- KBO: Kia Tigers vs. NC DinosKia Tigers$51$21
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster$51$4
- Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-08-02?Yes$49$4
- Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix BuffaloesSaitama Seibu Lions$47$22
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio$42$10
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No$42$-1
- Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes$41$18
- KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte GiantsSamsung Lions$40$-2
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C6666$38$-7
- LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion$35$0
- Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-08-02?No$34$1
- Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes$34$11
- KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia TigersNC Dinos$31$-37
- Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$30$5
- Spread: Denver Summit FC (-1.5)Boston Legacy FC$21$-0
- Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$20$2
- KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Lotte GiantsSamsung Lions$19$-30
- Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-04?No$19$3
- National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'ConnellJames Duckworth$17$2
- Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$13$-13
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming$9$-4.3K
- Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?No$9$0
- Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo BuenoGonzalo Bueno$8$-19
- Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$8$1
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Rocket Classic?Yes$7$-1
- Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno BorgesAleksandar Kovacevic$7$0
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 - Map 2 Winner6666$6$2
- Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam DraxlDaniel Merida Aguilar$5$1
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy$5$1
- ITF Sao Paulo: Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida vs Mateus AlvesGustavo Ribeiro De Almeida$5$0
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming$4$-1.5K
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)FC Utrecht$4$0
- LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonTeam Solid$3$1
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Group ATeam Jenz$2$0
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsExecration$1$-452
- Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-07-25?Yes$1$1
- Will Rhode Island FC win on 2026-08-01?No$1$0
- Canadian Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Hamad MedjedovicJuan Manuel Cerundolo$1$0
- Will Club Almagro vs. CA Ferrocarril Midland end in a draw?No$1$-41
- OG to win 2-0?Yes$1$-17
- Yomiuri Giants vs. Yokohama BayStarsYomiuri Giants$1$-17
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerDRX$0$-128
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerExecration$0$-216
- Valorant: VARREL vs DRX - Map 1 WinnerVARREL$0$-87
- Will Azzi Fudd win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes$0$-0
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerDN SOOPers$0$-32
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster$0$-47
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports$0$-16
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under$0$-2
- Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-01?Yes$0$-5
- Will NK Istra 1961 win on 2026-08-01?Yes$0$-242
- Will Tampa Bay Rowdies vs. Louisville City FC end in a draw?Yes$0$-0
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?No$0$-355
- Will Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?No$0$-33
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes$0$-0
- Will Fredrikstad FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?Yes$0$-2
- Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-08-01?No$0$-19
- ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Veljko Krstic vs Andrea De MarchiVeljko Krstic$0$-1
- Will Independiente Medellín vs. AD Cali end in a draw?Yes$0$-15
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-01?No$0$-0
- Will Danubio FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes$0$-3
- Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-08-01?No$0$-31
- Will Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No$0$-348
- Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-08-01?Yes$0$-113
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-01?No$0$-79
- Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?Yes$0$-8.2K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 30m agoSold HANJIN BRION$3.6K@ 99.9¢
- 2h agoSold Over$152@ 99.9¢
- 2h agoSold DN SOOPers$2.0K@ 99.9¢
- 8h agoSold Under$139@ 99.9¢
- 8h agoSold Santos FC$214@ 99.9¢
- 8h agoSold No$946@ 99.9¢
- 11h agoSold Fritz$340@ 99.9¢
- 11h agoSold Titouan Droguet$1.5K@ 99.9¢
- 11h agoSold BESTIA$225@ 99.9¢
- 11h agoSold BESTIA$490@ 99.9¢
- 12h agoSold Yes$247@ 99.9¢
- 13h agoSold Alexandra Eala$3.6K@ 99.9¢
- 14h agoSold Team Liquid$1.4K@ 99.9¢
- 15h agoSold Southern Brave$45.7K@ 99.9¢
- 15h agoSold Navajo Stirling$205@ 99.9¢
- 17h agoSold Over$217@ 99.9¢
- 17h agoSold Galle Gallants$22.3K@ 99.9¢
- 18h agoSold Southern Brave$734@ 99.9¢
- 19h agoSold Yes$319@ 62.0¢
- 19h agoSold Yes$310@ 62.0¢
- 19h agoSold Yes$121@ 99.9¢
- 20h agoSold Under$443@ 99.9¢
- 20h agoSold No$594@ 99.9¢
- 22h agoBought Bucheon FC 1995$204@ 59.8¢
- 23h agoBought Atputies$126@ 51.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.