alpheclabs
0xb4d2…ce99View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$645.6K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$11.5K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$2.9K
Hit rate (resolved)
16%
Resolved positions
83
Longshot exposure
99%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No$41.0K$1.3K
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$3.8K$3.5K
- Houston Dynamo vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreYes$2.3K$763
- Exact Score: Israel 0 - 0 Republic of Ireland?No$2.2K$88
- Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No$2.1K$-19
- Oregon vs. USCOregon$2.0K$195
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Eagles$1.9K$-78
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)Eagles$1.9K$23
- Colombia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5Under$1.7K$240
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$1.7K$1.1K
- CF Montréal vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to ScoreYes$1.5K$561
- Arizona vs. Washington StateArizona$1.5K$212
- Spread: Jets (-6.5)Lions$1.4K$33
- Louisiana vs. CharlotteLouisiana$1.4K$254
- Spread: Abilene Christian (-3.5)Mercer$1.2K$132
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes$1.2K$309
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$1.2K$549
- Spread: Eagles (-5.5)Eagles$1.2K$-41
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?Yes$1.0K$209
- Spread: Kansas State (-11.5)Cincinnati$1.0K$-115
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Deportivo Toluca FC$940$37
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes$859$-288
- Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?No$786$-3
- Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No$784$210
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-26?No$755$295
- Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?No$727$51
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No$688$-104
- Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes$678$-288
- Spread: Eagles (-4.5)Eagles$668$8
- Missouri vs. Mississippi StateMississippi State$661$101
- 1H Spread: Washington (-2.5)Washington$569$114
- Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No$545$17
- Charlotte FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 5.5Under$535$13
- Appalachian State vs. NC StateNC State$510$30
- Texas A&M vs. LSU: O/U 60.5Under$472$133
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?Yes$410$208
- Exact Score: Israel 3 - 0 Republic of Ireland?No$333$16
- Club Necaxa vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under$328$10
- Spread: Israel (-2.5)Republic of Ireland$327$12
- Spread: James Madison (-20.5)Old Dominion$319$-190
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs White Dragons (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageWhite Dragons$304$261
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No$300$37
- Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?Yes$295$19
- Hanshin Tigers vs. Hiroshima CarpHiroshima Carp$290$164
- Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No$289$66
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No$286$6
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-26?Yes$263$-17
- CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over$263$67
- 1H Spread: LSU (-4.5)Texas A&M$261$18
- Spread: Oregon (-4.5)USC$246$7
- Spread: UMass (-17.5)Sacramento State$243$-5
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesTampa Bay Rays$238$110
- Charleston Battery vs. Rhode Island FC: O/U 2.5Under$237$104
- Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?Yes$234$48
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-26?Yes$234$62
- Yokohama BayStars vs. Hanshin TigersHanshin Tigers$233$45
- Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 3.5Under$227$119
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?No$208$22
- Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?No$207$3
- FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under$190$19
- LSU Team Total: O/U 30.5Under$189$52
- Spread: Mississippi State (-7.5)Mississippi State$186$52
- Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$186$102
- Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No$181$50
- Spread: Jacksonville State (-7.5)Middle Tennessee$166$43
- KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia TigersLotte Giants$165$29
- Spread: Arkansas State (-2.5)Arkansas State$159$52
- Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes$159$-7
- Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-26?No$158$88
- Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under$150$5
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-26?No$148$6
- Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?No$143$-31
- Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No$132$23
- Spread: Mississippi State (-5.5)Missouri$131$-22
- KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha EaglesHanwha Eagles$125$55
- Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes$122$-25
- Oregon vs. USC: O/U 58.5Under$120$25
- Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group ADawn Bulls$114$5
- Philadelphia Union leading at halftime?Yes$113$6
- Browns 1H Team Total: O/U 20.5Under$112$28
- Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No$111$-3
- Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No$108$-4
- Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$106$-6
- Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No$106$5
- Missouri vs. Mississippi State: O/U 60.5Under$106$16
- Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No$103$19
- Spread: UMass (-3.5)Sacramento State$102$-41
- Will CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?No$101$39
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver$94$2
- Spread: Giants (-3.5)Giants$93$-29
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-26?No$93$66
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-09-26?No$89$-1
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No$89$6
- Spread: Giants (-4.5)Giants$86$-26
- KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte GiantsLG Twins$86$-22
- Middle Tennessee vs. Jacksonville StateMiddle Tennessee$85$57
- Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$85$5
- Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes$81$30
- LoL: Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsMovistar KOI Fénix$79$12
- Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes$76$54
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 38d agoSold Dplus KIA Challengers$124@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Over$141@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$729@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Under$857@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold No$154@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Kiwoom DRX Challengers$438@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Guyana Amazon Warriors$365@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Bejlek$799@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold No$655@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Yes$1.1K@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Yes$363@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold BESTIA$882@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold No$1.2K@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Elena Rybakina$2.0K@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Yes$580@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold IMHOWeRGOAT$974@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Ici Japon Corp. Esport$277@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold G2$227@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold Fire Flux Esports$436@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold ENCE$166@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold ex-Sashi Academy$514@ 99.9¢
- 38d agoSold SAW Youngsters$156@ 99.9¢
- 39d agoSold G2 Gozen$371@ 99.9¢
- 39d agoSold Medvedev$4.6K@ 99.9¢
- 39d agoSold Galions$217@ 99.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.