Corlys
0xd23f…94a1View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$79.1K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
64
Open P&L (est.)
$857
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$29.4K
Hit rate (resolved)
4%
Resolved positions
54
Longshot exposure
89%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes$72$60
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes$69$64
- Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes$62$51
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes$57$51
- Will LOUD qualify to the EWCYes$30$19
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 3?No$30$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 3?No$30$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 3?No$28$-1
- Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat?Yes$27$23
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 3?No$27$-0
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$23$20
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 3?No$23$-1
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 3?No$22$-0
- Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Yes$21$18
- Will First Squad Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone?Yes$20$19
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes$20$14
- Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes$20$12
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?Yes$19$7
- Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?Yes$19$10
- Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?Yes$19$10
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 3?No$18$2
- CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89%-90.5%?Yes$18$4
- Will "All-Stars" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?Yes$18$15
- Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?Yes$18$16
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$17$16
- Will GIANTX Win LEC Summer Split 2026?Yes$16$13
- Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?Yes$16$13
- Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes$16$14
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?Yes$16$9
- Will Dusan Vlahovic join Tottenham?Yes$15$13
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes$15$8
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on August 3?No$15$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 3?No$15$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 3?No$15$-0
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$15$12
- Will Infosys Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes$14$10
- Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes$14$10
- Will Dusan Vlahovic join Al-Nassr?Yes$14$12
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?No$14$0
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on August 4?No$13$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 4?No$13$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 4?No$13$-0
- Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Yes$13$12
- Will T1 Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone?Yes$13$12
- Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes$13$8
- Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Yes$12$3
- Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Yes$11$9
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes$11$0
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 3?No$11$-0
- Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Yes$11$10
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes$10$4
- Will Team Orchid Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone?Yes$10$10
- Will Dusan Vlahovic join Manchester United?Yes$10$8
- Will Team Heretics Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone?Yes$10$9
- Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes$10$9
- Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?Yes$10$2
- Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes$10$4
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 45°C or higher on August 2?No$10$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 4?No$10$-0
- Will Karmine Corp Win LEC Summer Split 2026?Yes$10$8
- Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?Yes$10$9
- Will G2 Esports Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone?Yes$9$9
- Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes$9$3
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Yes$9$5
- Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$9$6
- Will Larsen & Toubro Ltd be the largest Indian company?Yes$9$5
- Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?Yes$9$8
- Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?Yes$9$9
- Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?Yes$9$8
- Will Team Vitality Win LEC Summer Split 2026?Yes$9$5
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$9$8
- Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Yes$9$4
- Will EKLETYC Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone?Yes$9$8
- Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?Yes$9$8
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4?Yes$9$7
- Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?Yes$8$5
- Will Team PBJ Win EWC 2026 COD: Warzone?Yes$8$8
- Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes$8$8
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes$8$6
- Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes$8$7
- Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Yes$8$2
- Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes$8$2
- Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?Yes$8$7
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes$8$2
- Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes$7$3
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Yes$7$-1
- Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes$7$2
- Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$7$4
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3?Yes$7$1
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 2?Yes$7$4
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?Yes$7$2
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on August 2?Yes$6$6
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes$6$5
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$6$3
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?Yes$6$4
- Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Yes$6$5
- Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$6$5
- Will Thinky have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$6$5
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes$6$4
- Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Yes$6$5
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 33m agoBought No$161@ 99.8¢
- 33m agoBought No$129@ 80.0¢
- 33m agoBought No$160@ 99.3¢
- 33m agoBought No$159@ 99.0¢
- 33m agoBought No$159@ 99.0¢
- 34m agoBought No$190@ 99.0¢
- 34m agoBought No$192@ 99.9¢
- 2h agoBought No$150@ 99.9¢
- 2h agoBought No$150@ 99.9¢
- 2h agoBought No$140@ 93.0¢
- 2h agoBought No$149@ 99.2¢
- 2h agoBought No$150@ 99.8¢
- 2h agoBought No$113@ 75.5¢
- 2h agoBought No$150@ 99.7¢
- 2h agoBought No$150@ 99.8¢
- 2h agoBought No$149@ 99.5¢
- 7h agoBought No$118@ 99.7¢
- 7h agoBought No$113@ 95.9¢
- 7h agoBought No$110@ 93.0¢
- 7h agoBought No$112@ 95.0¢
- 7h agoBought No$118@ 99.9¢
- 12h agoBought No$139@ 99.9¢
- 12h agoBought No$110@ 79.0¢
- 12h agoBought No$139@ 99.8¢
- 12h agoBought No$108@ 99.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.