0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca
0xe234…304aView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$302.7K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-6.8K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$27.7K
Hit rate (resolved)
2%
Resolved positions
85
Longshot exposure
39%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No$21.9K$68
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$17.2K$2.3K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$13.2K$-398
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$13.1K$1.0K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$12.3K$2.9K
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$12.0K$4.3K
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No$8.9K$229
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No$7.2K$117
- US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No$6.0K$81
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No$5.4K$359
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes$3.8K$594
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$3.3K$-675
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No$3.0K$52
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes$3.0K$-367
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No$2.8K$50
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes$2.5K$18
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?No$2.4K$155
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.3K$-828
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes$2.3K$-599
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No$2.1K$54
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes$2.1K$-284
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No$2.0K$332
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes$1.8K$-138
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No$1.6K$834
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes$1.6K$-742
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.6K$-6
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No$1.6K$1
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No$1.5K$-12
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes$1.5K$-66
- Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No$1.4K$22
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No$1.3K$-231
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$1.3K$10
- Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes$1.2K$-638
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No$1.0K$-23
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No$992$62
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes$977$-84
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No$945$75
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$915$-655
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes$879$-584
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes$875$125
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No$854$139
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$840$20
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No$829$-429
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes$724$-2.5K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes$692$-252
- Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No$555$-193
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No$471$30
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes$458$-293
- US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes$438$131
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?No$350$-70
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes$333$-74
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes$330$-631
- Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No$280$26
- Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes$280$-40
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$270$-57
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No$239$-435
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No$238$2
- UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No$238$-2
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes$181$-25
- Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?No$178$5
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No$148$-31
- T20 Series Japan vs Malaysia, Women: Japan vs MalaysiaMalaysia$137$130
- Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?No$117$30
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No$108$66
- Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$106$-61
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$86$-734
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes$70$-4
- Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$45$-202
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes$44$-176
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$28$-222
- Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$24$-226
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes$19$-40
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes$14$-11
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$8$-242
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$8$-242
- Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$8$-242
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Yes$5$4
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$4$-246
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No$2$-5
- Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes$1$-1
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No$1$0
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$1$-0
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No$1$0
- Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No$0$-27
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?No$0$-68
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-2.9K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes$0$-974
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes$0$-168
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 24d agoBought No$458@ 81.4¢
- 24d agoBought Yes$2.3K@ 29.0¢
- 27d agoBought Yes$124@ 12.4¢
- 27d agoBought Yes$234@ 11.7¢
- 27d agoBought No$2.3K@ 58.0¢
- 27d agoSold Yes$275@ 1.1¢
- 27d agoSold Yes$700@ 10.0¢
- 28d agoBought No$3.4K@ 56.0¢
- 29d agoBought No$297@ 99.0¢
- 29d agoBought No$2.2K@ 99.8¢
- 29d agoSold Yes$229@ 9.0¢
- 29d agoSold Yes$170@ 1.7¢
- 29d agoBought Yes$100@ 2.0¢
- 29d agoSold Yes$596@ 21.0¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$384@ 30.0¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$496@ 21.4¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$320@ 16.0¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$1.3K@ 16.0¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$460@ 21.0¢
- 31d agoSold Yes$200@ 4.0¢
- 31d agoSold Yes$531@ 4.5¢
- 32d agoBought Yes$869@ 86.9¢
- 32d agoSold Yes$1.9K@ 18.0¢
- 32d agoBought Yes$310@ 2.0¢
- 32d agoBought No$929@ 92.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.