All-Peasant-Drug
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$95.6K$-41.2K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No$69.0K$3.4K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$11.2K$118
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$9.7K$677
- Counter-Strike: Just Swing vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 2 WinnerKaleido Gaming$7.2K$3.7K
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsXtreme Gaming$6.9K$-2.1K
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?No$4.6K$2.4K
- Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$4.3K$306
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?Yes$4.2K$-964
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-25?Yes$3.9K$628
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$2.8K$461
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 25?No$2.6K$-4
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$2.4K$693
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes$2.3K$-908
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$2.3K$282
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes$2.2K$35
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - European Pro League Group AZero Tenacity$2.0K$-2
- Will Poland win on 2026-09-25?Yes$2.0K$66
- Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?Yes$1.9K$-22
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$1.8K$-269
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1.8K$87
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.4K$390
- Will France win on 2026-09-25?Yes$1.2K$-10
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No$1.2K$202
- Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?No$1.2K$-31
- M25 Setubal: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Lui MaxtedInaki Montes-De La Torre$1.1K$482
- Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$1.1K$-491
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsLGD Gaming$1.1K$335
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No$1.1K$79
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$1.0K$-202
- Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?Yes$1.0K$5
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$876$42
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$744$42
- Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$724$-634
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes$688$-5
- Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes$674$25
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis - Game 1 WinnerFALKE Esports$652$341
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$617$220
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 2 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$610$207
- Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?No$568$7
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No$557$-2
- Will White House post 200+ posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Yes$531$-45
- Türkiye vs. France: O/U 1.5Over$520$-8
- LoL: ZSK vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group DZSK$474$0
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-09-25?Yes$461$-15
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$461$-1.4K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$454$-268
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$451$68
- Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?Yes$443$64
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$431$-153
- Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?Yes$429$-6
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Heidenheim: O/U 3.5Under$405$112
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$388$22
- Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?Yes$378$114
- Porto: Elena Malygina vs Sinja KrausSinja Kraus$366$80
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerNIP$364$240
- Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25?Yes$345$3
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$344$-27
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No$331$4
- Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes$324$35
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsNIP$321$75
- LoL: Solary vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group DSaigon Warriors$320$129
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$314$5
- Korea Open: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly BirrellKimberly Birrell$310$-24
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$296$-419
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$294$-64
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsGamerLegion$286$-3
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming$282$-13
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming$281$-318
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes$281$38
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$278$67
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$275$-40
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$268$-74
- VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Heidenheim: O/U 3.5Over$264$-424
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No$263$-707
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$257$8
- Laver Cup: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander BublikRafael Jodar$244$-5
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No$243$115
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes$242$1
- Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$240$-46
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No$234$-100
- Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27?Yes$229$7
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes$227$75
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes$213$1
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $750B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?No$210$31
- Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over$209$16
- Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10?Yes$205$-48
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$201$-274
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25?Yes$198$7
- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No$194$26
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?Yes$194$14
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No$194$3
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-10?No$191$49
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes$191$-7
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSashi Esport$190$-2
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No$190$3
- LoL: Solary vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group DSolary$189$-4
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes$184$38
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)India$178$83
- Armenia vs. Latvia: Both Teams to ScoreYes$176$-2
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 36d agoSold TEAM VISION$4.5K@ 99.9¢
- 36d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 51.9¢
- 36d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 51.9¢
- 36d agoBought TYLOO$1.1K@ 57.0¢
- 36d agoBought JD Gaming$206@ 72.0¢
- 36d agoSold Yes$704@ 45.5¢
- 36d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$359@ 99.9¢
- 36d agoBought Dplus KIA$190@ 46.0¢
- 36d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$913@ 99.9¢
- 36d agoSold TEAM VISION$256@ 92.0¢
- 36d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$124@ 43.0¢
- 36d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$394@ 47.0¢
- 36d agoSold Kiwoom DRX Challengers$106@ 99.0¢
- 36d agoSold Nigma Galaxy$130@ 32.0¢
- 36d agoBought Dplus KIA$476@ 48.0¢
- 36d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$161@ 99.0¢
- 36d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 61.0¢
- 36d agoBought Up$467@ 80.6¢
- 36d agoBought Yes$162@ 84.0¢
- 36d agoBought Iron Wing$190@ 28.0¢
- 36d agoBought Yes$396@ 62.0¢
- 37d agoSold Up$119@ 32.3¢
- 37d agoBought Team Spirit$952@ 88.3¢
- 37d agoBought Team Spirit$1.9K@ 92.8¢
- 37d agoBought Aryna Sabalenka$143@ 60.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet All-Peasant-Drug. The headline figures are $76 of traded volume, 29 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $17.5K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $76 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $17.5K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 62% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 29 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $76 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $17.5K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $17.5K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 29 visible positions and the $76 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $76 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $17.5K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 29 visible positions and the $76 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.