All-Peasant-Drug
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$8.9K$681
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$7.7K$1.9K
- Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$4.3K$312
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$4.3K$-259
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No$3.0K$152
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming$2.9K$27
- Will NK Maribor win on 2026-08-01?No$2.9K$992
- Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$2.4K$4
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$2.2K$341
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No$2.2K$-782
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?No$2.1K$712
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox$2.0K$994
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$2.0K$6
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?No$1.8K$512
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes$1.5K$-1.1K
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports$1.5K$524
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$1.5K$292
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.4K$185
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$1.4K$35
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$1.3K$102
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1.3K$-274
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonFlyQuest$1.3K$223
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-01?Yes$1.2K$527
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaNRG$1.2K$-28
- Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$1.2K$-189
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?Yes$1.1K$-8
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No$1.1K$119
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE$987$-39
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No$956$69
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)HANJIN BRION$942$-11
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No$857$-142
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No$851$19
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlante FC: O/U 2.5Over$813$-153
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5Under$792$88
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 2 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$768$365
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$727$25
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No$717$133
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$705$25
- Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$657$-645
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$635$63
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?No$621$154
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsPittsburgh Pirates$614$74
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes$612$219
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-01?Yes$598$-165
- Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2Yes$593$26
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No$592$11
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic$579$94
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$560$-140
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No$545$-17
- LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports$520$4
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$510$-344
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes$507$-49
- Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Atlante FC?Yes$505$-24
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$487$2
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes$468$-32
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4?Yes$455$96
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: Both Teams to ScoreYes$454$-36
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$445$135
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$420$-190
- Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes$380$-4
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 2?No$377$13
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?No$356$-18
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$350$-183
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$338$-61
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupKT Rolster$314$-10
- Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes$287$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?No$281$-4
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$281$-47
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes$280$168
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes$276$87
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?Yes$272$-16
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5?No$265$-16
- Ethereum Up or Down on August 2?Up$247$154
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes$241$-39
- Club Alianza Lima vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 2.5Over$241$122
- Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$241$-3
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes$227$75
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$227$-18
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest$226$13
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?Yes$221$-13
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$220$-8
- Detroit Tigers vs. AthleticsDetroit Tigers$219$36
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes$217$-3
- Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Yes$215$51
- Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular SeasonSTREAMER ARENA$210$64
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No$209$17
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes$209$11
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes$201$9
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes$199$33
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$196$-23
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No$193$3
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloRafael Jodar$190$61
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?No$189$-1
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No$189$2
- Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?Up$187$85
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes$186$1
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupHANJIN BRION$182$-1
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over$180$-10
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes$173$45
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes$172$-198
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 7m agoSold Colorado Rockies$209@ 99.9¢
- 42m agoBought Under$696@ 56.0¢
- 2h agoBought NRG$190@ 66.9¢
- 2h agoBought Yes$117@ 41.0¢
- 3h agoBought Over$119@ 62.0¢
- 3h agoBought Top Esports$476@ 53.0¢
- 4h agoBought Cleveland Guardians$952@ 68.0¢
- 4h agoBought LNG Esports$138@ 22.0¢
- 4h agoBought New York Yankees$174@ 43.0¢
- 4h agoBought New York Yankees$8.5K@ 43.0¢
- 4h agoBought Team Envy$124@ 31.9¢
- 4h agoBought Kansas City Royals$476@ 46.0¢
- 4h agoBought Over$105@ 50.0¢
- 4h agoBought Yes$667@ 64.0¢
- 4h agoBought FlyQuest$1.1K@ 83.0¢
- 5h agoBought Down$187@ 55.9¢
- 5h agoSold BESTIA$273@ 92.0¢
- 5h agoBought Yes$281@ 59.0¢
- 5h agoBought No$286@ 54.0¢
- 5h agoBought Yes$286@ 41.0¢
- 5h agoBought No$286@ 53.0¢
- 6h agoBought Dignitas$1.0K@ 39.4¢
- 6h agoSold Dignitas$156@ 99.9¢
- 6h agoSold Dignitas$216@ 95.0¢
- 6h agoSold Yes$103@ 99.9¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet All-Peasant-Drug. The headline figures are $78 of traded volume, 39 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $22.5K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $78 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $22.5K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 67% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 39 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $78 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $22.5K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $22.5K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 39 visible positions and the $78 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $78 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $22.5K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 39 visible positions and the $78 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.