78979879879879
0xeb49…693eView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$373.0K
Open positions
79
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-183.7K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$-20.8K
Hit rate (resolved)
6%
Resolved positions
33
Longshot exposure
92%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$84.8K$3.6K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$47.0K$587
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes$33.1K$4.1K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$32.2K$3.4K
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No$30.6K$2.1K
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No$29.2K$2.3K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No$25.3K$2.0K
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$17.7K$1.6K
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No$15.6K$1.4K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes$12.0K$1.7K
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No$11.6K$575
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No$6.0K$2
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$4.1K$120
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No$3.6K$303
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No$3.6K$178
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes$3.4K$432
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes$3.4K$-28
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No$2.9K$10
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No$2.9K$105
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes$2.6K$117
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No$2.3K$97
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes$2.0K$281
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Yes$1.8K$70
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes$973$4
- Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?No$862$58
- Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No$852$-5
- Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?No$793$52
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No$712$-19
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$700$-578
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No$689$176
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes$618$36
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes$524$0
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?No$523$63
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes$481$83
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes$455$2
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Yes$387$31
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes$341$26
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?No$251$27
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?Yes$233$14
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$179$24
- Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Yes$153$-6
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?Yes$118$2
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Yes$113$9
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Yes$101$6
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Yes$84$1
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes$59$-5
- Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Yes$41$1
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina?Yes$5$0
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?Yes$0$-100
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No$0$-5.0K
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?Yes$0$-300
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?Yes$0$-200
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No$0$-3.7K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No$0$-30.3K
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown$0$-10
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?Yes$0$-10
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaCasper Ruud$0$-252
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?Yes$0$-10
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. AthleticsAthletics$0$-9.9K
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs$0$-10.6K
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETDown$0$-15
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?Yes$0$-17
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp$0$-35
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No$0$-47.5K
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?Yes$0$-180
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp$0$-5
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes$0$-899
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?Yes$0$-180
- Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No$0$-177
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown$0$-50
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No$0$-2.4K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No$0$-960
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?Yes$0$-320
- Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No$0$-795
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown$0$-5
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No$0$-64
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes$0$-581
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No$0$-90.6K
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No$0$-3.7K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 9d agoBought No$2.1K@ 94.0¢
- 9d agoBought No$3.3K@ 87.0¢
- 9d agoSold No$5.4K@ 95.8¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$175@ 96.0¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$177@ 86.0¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$954@ 88.7¢
- 10d agoSold No$958@ 95.8¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$110@ 41.9¢
- 10d agoSold No$264@ 88.0¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$113@ 85.3¢
- 11d agoBought No$274@ 95.4¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$300@ 88.9¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$113@ 88.0¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$104@ 86.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$385@ 77.0¢
- 12d agoSold No$389@ 97.3¢
- 12d agoBought No$11.0K@ 80.8¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$5.6K@ 85.8¢
- 12d agoBought No$399@ 91.1¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$173@ 84.0¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$14.7K@ 92.0¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$1.5K@ 91.0¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$224@ 28.4¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$3.0K@ 73.0¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$549@ 83.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.