0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80$22.1K$2.1K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No$22.1K$-3.5K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$18.5K$-3.0K
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No$17.9K$1.8K
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes$6.5K$198
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes$4.5K$-750
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes$3.0K$-367
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes$2.8K$-319
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes$2.4K$-1.7K
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.9K$529
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.3K$36
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.1K$-118
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$651$-79
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes$631$-138
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$620$112
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$574$-26
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes$452$16
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$194$-9
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$36$-1
- Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez$0$-20.0K
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes$0$-20.0K
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under$0$-10.0K
- Ethereum Up or Down on December 25?Down$0$-860
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2TYLOO$0$-3.0K
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit$0$-10.0K
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BBetBoom Team$0$-9.4K
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierNIP$0$-568
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe$0$-30.6K
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Pistons$0$-973
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes$0$-550
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets$0$-14.2K
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)Nakashima$0$-418
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION$0$-19.3K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No$0$-870
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3TheMongolz$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AVitality$0$-100
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BMIBR$0$-3.0K
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports$0$-12.3K
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsYes$0$-1,000
- Ethereum Up or Down on December 21?Down$0$-1,000
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under$0$-5.0K
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder$0$-6.0K
- Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes$0$-1,000
- Hamburg: Mika Petkovic vs Niels McDonaldMika Petkovic$0$-19.8K
- Spurs vs. CelticsCeltics$0$-751
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit$0$-2.0K
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere$0$-2.5K
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over$0$-12.5K
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality$0$-2.3K
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over$0$-2.0K
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz$0$-3.0K
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under$0$-10.0K
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons$0$-7.6K
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?No$0$-4.9K
- Hawks vs. KnicksKnicks$0$-8.7K
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force$0$-20.0K
- TikTok sale announced in 2025?No$0$-1,000
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns$0$-1.5K
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1FlyQuest$0$-2.0K
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group ApaiN$0$-540
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves$0$-7.0K
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over$0$-1,000
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLegacy$0$-2.5K
- Heat vs. PacersHeat$0$-2.0K
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifiermagic$0$-15.0K
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z$0$-34.9K
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsAurora Gaming$0$-5.0K
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes$0$-4.9K
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffspaiN$0$-1.5K
- Lexington: James McCabe vs Dusan LajovicJames McCabe$0$-9.0K
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes$0$-5.0K
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over$0$-479
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BFUT Esports$0$-39.4K
- Magic vs. WarriorsMagic$0$-2.7K
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under$0$-15.0K
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere$0$-1,000
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?No$0$-1,000
- Celtics vs. KnicksCeltics$0$-1.2K
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierDENDELE CS$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsTeam Falcons$0$-9.7K
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80$0$-6.0K
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit$0$-1,000
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group AAurora Gaming$0$-10.0K
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes$0$-10.0K
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over$0$-7.2K
- Thunder vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies$0$-2.2K
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs3DMAX$0$-914
- Pistons vs. CavaliersCavaliers$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierVitality$0$-19.3K
- Lakers vs. BullsBulls$0$-9.3K
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?No$0$-20.0K
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Under$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C100 Thieves$0$-12.0K
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Hawks$0$-9.0K
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder$0$-10.0K
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?No$0$-10.0K
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No$0$-1.5K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No$0$-10.6K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 9d agoBought Natus Vincere$41.5K@ 70.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$30.4K@ 70.0¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$1.3K@ 1.6¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$1.1K@ 4.9¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$5.0K@ 42.0¢
- 12d agoBought Daniel Merida Aguilar$10.5K@ 54.8¢
- 13d agoBought MIBR$3.0K@ 40.6¢
- 13d agoBought Over$479@ 47.0¢
- 13d agoBought PARIVISION$1.3K@ 61.9¢
- 13d agoBought Over$399@ 45.0¢
- 15d agoBought 100 Thieves$5.0K@ 46.0¢
- 15d agoBought JiJieHao$2.0K@ 64.6¢
- 15d agoBought Over$3.4K@ 49.4¢
- 15d agoBought BIG$5.0K@ 64.3¢
- 15d agoBought JiJieHao$996@ 64.9¢
- 17d agoBought magic$10.0K@ 47.0¢
- 17d agoBought G2$10.0K@ 68.0¢
- 17d agoBought 9z$10.0K@ 62.9¢
- 24d agoBought Over$2.5K@ 46.7¢
- 24d agoBought Over$7.2K@ 57.0¢
- 26d agoBought No$5.0K@ 42.0¢
- 27d agoBought Spirit$1.1K@ 79.0¢
- 27d agoBought Yes$3.1K@ 33.9¢
- 27d agoBought Yes$634@ 41.8¢
- 27d agoBought No$181@ 82.4¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.